TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Cremonese vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$152,479
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$171,771

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,479 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes34c45,518$15,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,067.4698544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked No67c24,862$16,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,657.541631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.27per pick58cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No66c20,000$13,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,2003562.9%22 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+43%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes34c14,706$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,705.882263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No66c12,060$7,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,959.626346%29 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes62c11,530$7,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,375.252,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes33c11,487$3,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,717.468750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No66c7,439$4,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9104445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No66c6,200$4,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,087.196942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No66c5,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3009952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed No67c4,142$2,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,775.144045%18 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No66c2,500$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6507255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes34c2,373$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.0735646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No66c2,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32012657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No28c1,660$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.7740447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Yes34c1,471$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.594546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes34c1,471$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.5910650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes33c1,214$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.0945547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No66c1,199$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.081833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6605064%32 W · 18 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No17c978.42$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.741,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No66c967.98$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.140549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No67c785.25$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.128058.8%47 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No66c699.98$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.9910038%38 W · 62 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No66c678$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.484355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes35c571.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.5717744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3307830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No48c478.6$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.9493252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes33c371.97$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.2244753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No67c320.6$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.84971.4%35 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No15c307.65$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5214347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd22…e478backed Yes45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes34c289.91$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.8720749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No66c287.05$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.065959.3%35 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Yes45c266.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.672330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c8d…4f17backed No67c208.96$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No57c201.17$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0549137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+30.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4be5…c185backed No68c179$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.72450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf3…05f6backed No68c175$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5dd…4e1fbacked No68c166$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.88560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbda…f10fbacked No67c164.41$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x985d…3d44backed No68c161$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd375…e1ecbacked No68c157$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes34c156$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.963828.9%11 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41b4…8530backed No68c152$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.36475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No66c151.51$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes33c150.01$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5146047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5761…d4bdbacked No68c150$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked No67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5753…617dbacked No68c142$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked No52c141$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.098357.8%48 W · 35 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf4f9…f3d4backed No68c137$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x543c…fe97backed No68c134$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick69cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed No38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ec1…7ba9backed No68c128$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick69cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3705…75c9backed No68c124$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick69cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Yes34c120$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.26955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbef…729bbacked No68c118$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick69cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4681…a324backed No68c113$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.84425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick69cpaid-63.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b54…8d48backed No68c110$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick69cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5329…e2f3backed Yes57c105.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.431070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0867…5005backed No68c105$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick69cpaid-63.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.521054.3%114 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6726747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe85f…7f69backed Yes35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665726.3%15 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Yes34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661625%4 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ae…5833backed No16c98.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.841030%3 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick21cpaid+46%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes33c94.24$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1433951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Yes34c87$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.423426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xece6…2854backed No67c74.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No67c74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.585236.5%19 W · 33 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes51c72.01$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4949850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes33c72$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0665254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes34c70.26$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.373745.9%17 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No61c70$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.766070%42 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Yes33c62.25$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.715839.7%23 W · 35 L-8.9wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-35.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.612759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked No26c57.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.252458.3%14 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.21per pick38cpaid+52.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed No66c56.08$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.948160.5%49 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed No66c55.27$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.484252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a30…0061backed Yes34c54.31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Yes34c53.06$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1421251.9%110 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes33c52$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7328931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed No47c51.79$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.092560%15 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No67c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.55176.5%39 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes33c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.538547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed No66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305944.1%26 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed No66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed No45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207848.7%38 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes49c41.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.226850%34 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6526241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e14…1511backed Yes55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick62cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked No39c39.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.69440.4%38 W · 56 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked No67c38.51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.67714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick52cpaid-66%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed No66c38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.084721.3%10 W · 37 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-52.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf5a…bf0abacked Yes80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick65cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked No66c37.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.663658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9d9…2f4abacked No69c36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.842766.7%18 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.