TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Cremonese win on 2026-02-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,213
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,807

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,213 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed No73c34,930$25,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,523.745349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes29c31,442$9,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,249.6640447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No76c11,083$8,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,636.6796942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes23c7,613$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.552,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed No72c3,500$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9803060%18 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No77c3,037$2,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.71,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c2,773$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.2398544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes27c2,327$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.2913517%23 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes27c2,299$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.6145547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c1,998$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.7468750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40536630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43510940.4%44 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes21c893$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.034721.3%10 W · 37 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-52.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x389b…8d69backed Yes23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No70c678$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.44355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1fc…bcdfbacked No72c555.56$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.56666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed No71c555$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.958463.1%53 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes28c441$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.4837250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…76afbacked No70c429$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes24c407$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.681618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes28c357.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No77c350.27$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1549850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes13c307.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes11c300$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.32025%5 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-40.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9e…a8a9backed Yes6c289.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.391770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+99%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x812d…8f72backed No72c230$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfca…bcdabacked Yes29c230$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes28c209.71$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.729631.3%30 W · 66 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Yes12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Yes27c200$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.931540%6 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5816251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346540%26 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5438547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes27c184.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7149137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No71c181$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.795959.3%35 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes13c172.93$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2238739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506253.2%33 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed No70c156.27$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.883953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.528556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes27c150$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.546047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d6d…8601backed Yes29c140.11$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-74.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No71c135$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1525556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No71c115$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3516851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No71c112$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4813550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes28c111.07$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3111748.7%57 W · 60 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a9…32a7backed No74c101.53$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No71c100.01$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6740549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x433d…f9e8backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67f4…f91bbacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe343…5c31backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252626.9%7 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes28c99.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289045.6%41 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x522f…79c2backed Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No71c90$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.111655.2%64 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No71c90$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.112253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x501c…34d8backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No71c79.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.613160.3%79 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked No71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.426266.1%41 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No71c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.35236.5%19 W · 33 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80da…2086backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203732.4%12 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49b8…1417backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44e0…97e6backed Yes25c68.85$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.21560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c54…489fbacked Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206448.4%31 W · 33 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.411551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.411154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.412453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.411454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.410952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.412754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.411953.8%64 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.413650.7%69 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.412350.4%62 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa1…c711backed Yes30c58.63$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Yes27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd258…9dfdbacked Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No71c50.01$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7532150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.521054.3%114 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1523245.3%105 W · 127 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159944.4%44 W · 55 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.514155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked No71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.58242.7%35 W · 47 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.528931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7bd…616cbacked No71c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.755143.1%22 W · 29 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-29%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Yes27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-43.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked No71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.56647%31 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No71c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7514255.6%79 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc377…3e5dbacked Yes27c48.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed No71c44.98$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2710957.8%63 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked No71c43.32$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.567558.7%44 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No74c42.48$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0720749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x754f…ee9ebacked Yes26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.69240.2%37 W · 55 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked No71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.65950.8%30 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed No71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.711652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed No71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.77152.1%37 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed No73c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.562454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked No73c27.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.213658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xebe0…ce52backed No72c26.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked No70c25.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.693354.5%18 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.