Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf107f76a9a1b4a8d74bb36816f20b6c4a39d2076d1f4c0e230e97b5cd6637bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $280,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $299,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $280,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac44…fbd7backed Yes | 41c | 105,849$43,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,328.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed No | 25c | 19,675$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 61c | 16,303$9,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,941.69 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9963…32e4backed No | 58c | 14,000$8,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,159.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 10,513$6,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,206.1 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 56c | 9,805$5,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,509.53 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 9,461$4,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,429.37 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 60c | 9,186$5,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,511.32 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 59c | 9,185$5,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,419.15 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 59c | 9,178$5,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,415.02 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 39c | 9,000$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,490 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 61c | 8,663$5,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,298.52 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 60c | 7,900$4,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,739.4 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 60c | 7,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 40c | 6,500$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 6,409$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961.26 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 60c | 5,164$3,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.5 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 39c | 3,409$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.2 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 51c | 2,972$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.42 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 61c | 2,868$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.48 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…a1c1backed No | 59c | 2,364$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 61c | 2,245$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.45 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 61c | 2,200$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.2 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 58c | 1,928$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.56 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 75c | 1,846$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.19 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 46c | 1,758$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.86 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 60c | 1,686$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.34 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 39c | 1,583$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.4 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb32a…e349backed No | 61c | 1,400$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459c…83f0backed Yes | 39c | 1,280$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 39c | 1,280$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.8 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 20c | 1,259$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 59c | 1,220$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 40c | 1,100$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 38c | 1,015$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.3 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae6…3cbebacked No | 62c | 831.02$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.23 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 38c | 829.77$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.37 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 39c | 800$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.47 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 6c | 751.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 61c | 634$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.74 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 39c | 607.26$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.43 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 73c | 595$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.63 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 42c | 570$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.7 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Yes | 39c | 520.51$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.51 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 39c | 456.37$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.7 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed No | 45c | 435.27$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9119…0de2backed Yes | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…af9dbacked Yes | 38c | 410.07$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671d…1548backed No | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 60c | 400$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…d35fbacked Yes | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 5c | 382.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 39c | 350$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.5 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 75c | 339.15$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.35 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 61c | 331.93$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.68 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 71c | 315.35$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.17 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 63c | 270.27$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.27 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Yes | 41c | 266.89$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.18 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked No | 62c | 255$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…e96dbacked Yes | 39c | 250$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 59c | 247$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.73 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 52c | 244.64$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.56 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Yes | 77c | 217.94$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.13 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 20c | 210$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b3…53b9backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 25c | 199.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…9f55backed Yes | 76c | 196.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…0123backed Yes | 77c | 188.65$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Yes | 40c | 183.55$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa555…d816backed Yes | 75c | 165.29$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47af…799bbacked Yes | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 38c | 144$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.81 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes | 23c | 131.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.84 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 38c | 131.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 39c | 123.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.39 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed Yes | 14c | 120.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…701abacked Yes | 39c | 120$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 26c | 111$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes | 70c | 107.14$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed No | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -6.5wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed No | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 74c | 89.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 38c | 84.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed Yes | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…3842backed Yes | 19c | 75.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.39 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…bab9backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 39c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-02-14?No won
- Will Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.