Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79ea63ae2269cf95f21868033b789cbaea61f85850b4039f2a1be2e7ca0fb1d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 10,229$7,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,606.87 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 29c | 9,051$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624.79 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Yes | 29c | 7,443$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.52 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +199.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 71c | 3,001$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.29 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 2,606$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.97 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 2,192$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.56 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 71c | 2,005$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.45 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Yes | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 71c | 1,432$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.28 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 78c | 1,043$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.23 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 77c | 909.61$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.21 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 73c | 805.27$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.71 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 30c | 799.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 495.65$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.68 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 6c | 444$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 69c | 432$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.92 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 4c | 400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 96 | 21.9%21 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 17c | 399.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed No | 69c | 347.83$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.83 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 59c | 336.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 31c | 310.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 29c | 273.15$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.44 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 68c | 192.82$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed No | 77c | 155$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…7a94backed Yes | 32c | 130$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 30c | 116.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 69c | 107.34$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 29c | 106.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed No | 48c | 104.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 32c | 103.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…3ec6backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 41c | 79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 69c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…1417backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0768…1783backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x020a…4b8abacked Yes | 32c | 61.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d9…7e2ebacked Yes | 32c | 60.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf4…4cf8backed Yes | 32c | 59.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 42c | 56.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58b…cba8backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…79c2backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…7e1bbacked Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 71c | 45.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed No | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f0…ad99backed No | 44c | 42.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 69c | 40.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 32c | 39.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d3…2d0fbacked Yes | 55c | 38.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed No | 71c | 36.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd258…9dfdbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…616cbacked No | 69c | 27.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 70c | 27.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf55c…a6abbacked No | 71c | 24.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ced…da99backed No | 69c | 24.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122d…bcb1backed No | 69c | 23.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed No | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4119…96f0backed No | 69c | 21.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939e…133cbacked No | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked No | 78c | 21.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed9…6546backed No | 69c | 20.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf51a…9f88backed No | 69c | 20.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc88…1bfcbacked No | 69c | 19.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9146…241abacked No | 69c | 17.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac8…787dbacked No | 69c | 17.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662f…c8d0backed No | 69c | 16.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 69c | 15.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?No won
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-02-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.