MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9944d3a0db8dcfe0197f5df96c46a4a64a4513bf8a03ab61169a7caa6b75c871
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Phillies, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,306,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,344,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,306,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 529 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Phillies | 44c | 199,533$87,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,794.34 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Dodgers | 56c | 187,426$104,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,935.22 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Phillies | 45c | 140,252$62,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,749.97 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Dodgers | 55c | 88,722$48,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,924.72 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Dodgers | 55c | 75,234$41,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,657.59 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Dodgers | 56c | 70,000$39,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,000 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Dodgers | 55c | 65,000$35,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,199.94 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Phillies | 46c | 53,009$24,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,605.35 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 45c | 38,730$17,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,497.57 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Dodgers | 37c | 36,816$13,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,161.8 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Phillies | 44c | 34,744$15,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,138.27 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Phillies | 47c | 32,920$15,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,351.46 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Phillies | 45c | 31,073$13,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,988.52 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed Dodgers | 56c | 27,382$15,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,047.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Phillies | 39c | 26,331$10,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,351.19 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Phillies | 44c | 24,526$10,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,716.16 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Dodgers | 56c | 23,000$12,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,120 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759b…2ab3backed Phillies | 45c | 17,778$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Phillies | 64c | 15,623$10,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,004.15 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Phillies | 46c | 14,505$6,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,672.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Phillies | 52c | 14,044$7,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,251.69 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Dodgers | 56c | 13,751$7,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,069.55 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Phillies | 40c | 13,299$5,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,327.28 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Phillies | 49c | 12,720$6,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,210.43 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Phillies | 45c | 12,500$5,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,625 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Dodgers | 56c | 11,394$6,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,013.29 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…e113backed Dodgers | 56c | 11,239$6,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,945.01 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Dodgers | 35c | 10,460$3,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,821.34 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Phillies | 46c | 10,263$4,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,732.41 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…6371backed Phillies | 45c | 10,222$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Dodgers | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Phillies | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.99 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Phillies | 46c | 9,289$4,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,272.6 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Phillies | 35c | 9,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Phillies | 44c | 9,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,959.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Dodgers | 58c | 8,600$4,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,612 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Dodgers | 60c | 8,333$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.33 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Phillies | 46c | 8,000$3,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,698.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Dodgers | 47c | 7,993$3,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,205.57 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Phillies | 45c | 7,663$3,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,448.39 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Dodgers | 54c | 7,000$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Dodgers | 56c | 6,250$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x440f…b7d8backed Dodgers | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c4…ea4dbacked Dodgers | 55c | 5,800$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Dodgers | 44c | 5,634$2,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,170.75 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Phillies | 35c | 5,555$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Dodgers | 56c | 5,505$3,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,422.2 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Phillies | 53c | 5,233$2,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,778.95 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Phillies | 45c | 5,079$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.77 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Phillies | 43c | 5,077$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.01 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Phillies | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Phillies | 30c | 4,983$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.47 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Dodgers | 52c | 4,905$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,341.19 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers | 56c | 4,882$2,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,147.95 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Dodgers | 42c | 4,779$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.95 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Phillies | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.8 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Phillies | 43c | 4,460$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.22 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Phillies | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Phillies | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc982…559cbacked Phillies | 46c | 4,050$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff0c…c3e4backed Phillies | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Dodgers | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Phillies | 66c | 3,786$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484.87 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9f…bbc3backed Phillies | 46c | 3,700$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed Dodgers | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.36 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Dodgers | 56c | 3,600$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked Dodgers | 63c | 3,599$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d7…1f7fbacked Dodgers | 41c | 3,551$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Dodgers | 59c | 3,476$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.52 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Dodgers | 69c | 3,186$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.66 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a91…1aa9backed Phillies | 46c | 3,172$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…afb1backed Dodgers | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…4e60backed Dodgers | 55c | 2,733$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca22…32c1backed Dodgers | 55c | 2,683$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Dodgers | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.57 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Dodgers | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.57 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8b…8d4dbacked Phillies | 46c | 2,671$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc8…8baabacked Phillies | 46c | 2,624$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…0b13backed Phillies | 47c | 2,566$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Dodgers | 56c | 2,541$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.11 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945b…27c7backed Phillies | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5d…9a7fbacked Phillies | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac44…467bbacked Phillies | 46c | 2,379$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e8…814ebacked Dodgers | 55c | 2,350$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Dodgers | 59c | 2,344$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe46…7793backed Dodgers | 55c | 2,300$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x382a…a8a3backed Phillies | 46c | 2,192$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Dodgers | 56c | 2,121$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.33 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…ee16backed Dodgers | 55c | 2,099$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa102…6f05backed Dodgers | 55c | 2,099$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Phillies | 61c | 2,096$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.4 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe81c…e626backed Dodgers | 55c | 2,071$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Dodgers | 55c | 2,000$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Phillies | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Dodgers | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e19…3f6cbacked Dodgers | 55c | 1,929$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Phillies | 50c | 1,927$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.72 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…1cadbacked Phillies | 61c | 1,919$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.57 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…2360backed Dodgers | 55c | 1,900$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33f5…c156backed Phillies | 46c | 1,900$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phillies vs. Dodgersthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.