TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sabres vs. Devils

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sabresof Sabres, Devils
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$857,330
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$867,964

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $857,330 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 668 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9976…67dabacked Sabres50c402,365$202,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199,604.719848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Devils50c133,037$67,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,008.873046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Devils49c80,625$39,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,898.256152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Sabres49c64,123$31,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,497.9348549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Devils50c54,253$27,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,126.6867051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Devils51c41,870$21,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,353.8815054.7%82 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Devils49c40,820$20,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,036.272,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Devils50c37,776$18,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,699.1221850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Devils50c30,001$15,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,000.613056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Devils50c30,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00024349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Devils49c20,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,799.91,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Sabres50c20,000$9,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,019.871,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Sabres50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00032946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Sabres50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00013948.2%67 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Devils50c9,925$4,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,922.6651045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Devils50c9,526$4,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,760.8561950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Devils49c8,974$4,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,425.471,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Sabres69c8,275$5,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,578.111,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Devils50c7,557$3,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,761.891,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Devils49c7,205$3,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,530.441,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Devils49c6,981$3,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,420.5950049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Devils51c6,863$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5008848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Devils27c6,683$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804.412838.3%49 W · 79 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Devils49c6,347$3,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,109.9238748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Sabres49c6,071$2,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,085.442,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Sabres51c5,124$2,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,510.715660.7%34 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Sabres49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5501,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Devils50c5,000$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,474.9760249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Sabres50c4,746$2,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,372.8156649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Devils50c4,500$2,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,23060337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Sabres51c4,480$2,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,209.4743456%243 W · 191 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Devils51c4,314$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2008748.3%42 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Devils49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96022747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Devils50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Devils52c3,846$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00085250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Devils50c3,700$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85033243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Devils50c3,589$1,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,789.6351452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb7…30c9backed Sabres51c3,277$1,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,605.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Sabres50c3,220$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,609.7929146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Sabres50c3,076$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.2333652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Devils50c3,000$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48543548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Sabres59c2,586$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.6489636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Devils41c2,573$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05017442.5%74 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sabres50c2,558$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.591,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Sabres50c2,500$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25568449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Devils49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22584953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14bc…7e8abacked Sabres51c2,486$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Devils5c2,432$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.621856.4%123 W · 95 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Sabres51c2,122$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.4641248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Devils49c2,061$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.2927048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Devils49c2,020$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.81250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Sabres50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00031550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Devils50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Devils50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014940.9%61 W · 88 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4cb…2568backed Devils50c1,990$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4cc…b52cbacked Sabres51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Devils50c1,942$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.1212245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3b5…80f0backed Devils50c1,928$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Sabres50c1,900$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95021849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Devils50c1,890$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9456443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Devils49c1,800$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88233950.1%170 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Devils50c1,660$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.831851.9%165 W · 153 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Devils49c1,603$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.623351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Sabres50c1,600$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.7891653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Devils49c1,576$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7721,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Devils40c1,515$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.5916241.4%67 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Sabres50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7501850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Devils50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf953…6673backed Devils50c1,417$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.31560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Sabres50c1,415$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.586852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Sabres51c1,408$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.2986549.1%425 W · 440 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Devils50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70044551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Sabres55c1,375$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.12,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Sabres65c1,360$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.2252172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2751…5177backed Devils50c1,300$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Sabres71c1,257$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.8657157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14fa…19e2backed Devils50c1,250$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa210…d9c2backed Sabres51c1,220$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1987…01d9backed Sabres50c1,210$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae43…5b51backed Devils50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62b0…8156backed Sabres51c1,180$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf275…621cbacked Devils50c1,180$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95ef…02ffbacked Sabres51c1,170$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…bb39backed Sabres51c1,160$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x034b…b22bbacked Devils49c1,153$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5651020%2 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-60.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Sabres49c1,134$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.365147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dde…bb57backed Devils50c1,109$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.5730%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Sabres50c1,098$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54921755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Devils50c1,064$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.1342847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd17…9c19backed Devils50c1,050$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed32…a261backed Sabres54c1,030$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e1…cdaabacked Devils50c1,010$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5051450%7 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Devils50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027150.2%136 W · 135 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Devils50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked Devils50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018258.2%106 W · 76 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce50…b747backed Devils50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008756.3%49 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48fe…3603backed Devils46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Devils50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50070547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc554…e469backed Devils50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Devils5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5054418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.