NHL · resolved market
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7f739b81673f408ffb75222bcc95de5eaf0225e29b5294d77b9f59ea942ad07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Devilsof Sabres, Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Devils | 58c | 13,259$7,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,535.76 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Sabres | 41c | 6,001$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451.63 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sabres | 44c | 4,405$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.2 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Sabres | 30c | 4,226$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.13 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Devils | 70c | 4,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.99 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sabres | 40c | 1,405$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.38 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sabres | 40c | 1,050$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ee…e85dbacked Sabres | 29c | 343.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Devils | 63c | 253.32$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.23 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa4…c30abacked Devils | 71c | 200.75$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…cfe5backed Sabres | 30c | 193.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Devils | 69c | 191$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.21 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Devils | 70c | 171.86$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sabres | 41c | 154.47$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.67 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f48…6a8bbacked Devils | 71c | 142.59$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a1…b711backed Sabres | 29c | 133.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Sabres | 49c | 131.63$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Devils | 71c | 127$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Devils | 70c | 110$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Sabres | 24c | 102.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Sabres | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…6573backed Sabres | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Sabres | 28c | 73.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Sabres | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Sabres | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Sabres | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Sabres | 30c | 46.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Devils | 69c | 42.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Devils | 48c | 29.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)this page
- Sabres vs. DevilsSabres won
- Sabres vs. Devils: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Devils: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Devils: O/U 6.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Devils: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.