La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08f507248a74a79f11826138b5cb89ad742005fbf65e23d4203e06e563508bfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8566…c626backed Under | 39c | 43,082$16,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,801.8 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 61c | 25,976$15,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,110.91 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 62c | 10,147$6,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,882.95 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…9741backed Over | 65c | 4,004$2,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a8…f031backed Under | 35c | 3,996$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 68c | 3,438$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.07 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 33c | 3,400$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…29ffbacked Over | 65c | 3,333$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb72…c3c6backed Under | 35c | 3,328$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 61c | 2,530$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.83 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Over | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 34c | 1,324$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 39c | 500$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.33 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c6…fde6backed Over | 62c | 446.9$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.82 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Over | 62c | 329.84$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.34 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 40c | 315.89$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…e601backed Over | 60c | 298.33$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 60c | 293.32$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.33 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 67c | 204.6$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5304…61cfbacked Under | 39c | 165.53$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 62c | 162$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4da9…ad9ebacked Over | 67c | 151.55$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 33c | 151.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 62c | 149.2$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 67c | 148.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.11 | 40 | 82.5%33 W · 7 L | +6.5wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 62c | 140.8$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +9.0wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…d644backed Over | 67c | 136$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Under | 38c | 110$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 61c | 109.22$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Under | 34c | 101.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe575…8b12backed Over | 62c | 85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…4381backed Under | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…7aaabacked Under | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b1…1539backed Over | 67c | 74.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 38c | 72.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 34c | 71.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…5f03backed Over | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 62c | 62.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Under | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over | 64c | 54.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x957c…2965backed Under | 40c | 53.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 59c | 53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Over | 66c | 51.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Over | 61c | 51.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 110 | 66.4%73 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43bc…ec11backed Over | 62c | 45.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c49…1699backed Over | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 62c | 43.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -11.8wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…d654backed Over | 68c | 43.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 67c | 40.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 72c | 40.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Under | 32c | 39.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 40c | 39.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 29c | 37.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421a…51a3backed Under | 34c | 35.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b1…fc8abacked Under | 34c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…5f11backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Over | 66c | 31.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 61c | 29.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…b0ecbacked Over | 66c | 24.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee40…ede2backed Over | 66c | 23.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…0564backed Over | 62c | 22.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…3161backed Over | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…f645backed Over | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 68cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x440f…6c5abacked Over | 67c | 20.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 196 | 46.4%91 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 77c | 15.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 74c | 14.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.