TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,632
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,182

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,632 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Under60c7,234$4,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,322.7490843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c6,818$4,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,236.534,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked Under61c4,000$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,439.991353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over40c3,887$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,332.23342.4%14 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8309052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over39c2,728$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,664.7526550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over51c1,592$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.0660147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over37c1,500$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.9438729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over41c1,290$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.111333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Over39c1,284$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.462524%6 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Over40c1,175$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under18c926.16$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.813,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Under57c900$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5131442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c5b…0584backed Under57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+45.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over43c869.47$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.63246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under57c800$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4565058%29 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Under56c800$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4482944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4aa…6156backed Over39c774.25$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.91181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.36per pick46cpaid+78%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under44c675.59$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003737.8%14 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Over45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.67862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over35c599.58$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.0242851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over38c531$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.2235148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28531745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under62c428.89$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.9150449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Over39c383.86$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.641855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under34c371.05$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.3879133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Under58c312$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27e1…704bbacked Over41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick29cpaid+106.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeecc…6930backed Over39c205.13$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.133259.4%19 W · 13 L+5.5wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+23.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8c93…8967backed Under61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1221747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Under57c184.21$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1053151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3127…ff44backed Under62c183.87$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1141540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc98c…6596backed Over44c181.82$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under52c163.21$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.261,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3284…45adbacked Under62c161$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over37c154.05$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0515451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.513052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over54c119.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0517648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2811149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over54c104.23$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.866752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over39c102.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.85145.1%23 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over39c102.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.561855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+28.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8819…4cf5backed Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483941%16 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.243255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509357%53 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under56c89.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over38c81$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2213249.2%65 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over54c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.211855.1%65 W · 53 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over53c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.418152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over40c80$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ba…960fbacked Under58c69.45$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over39c69.23$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.237131%22 W · 49 L-11.8wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-40.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xfdc6…788abacked Over38c65.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.791181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick54cpaid+60%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over44c62$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7223250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over39c57.82$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2710634%36 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3b8…2dd5backed Under62c56.21$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.85450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa3…ea8dbacked Over39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.282948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.284146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d0…91acbacked Under40c49.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.92045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0f4…5107backed Under62c47.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.58850%4 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over54c46.24$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.111,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Over44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4532444.8%145 W · 179 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under60c45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1227653.6%148 W · 128 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf303…7ee6backed Under47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd201…0deebacked Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over40c40.86$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.789050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under54c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.410039%39 W · 61 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Over39c39.52$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.115129.4%15 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Over54c36.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.826962.3%43 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under45c36.31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.281,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a30…b094backed Under56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2b4…01fdbacked Under57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under39c34.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5361657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e24…24fbbacked Under61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203655.6%20 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1985…8cbdbacked Under55c32.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185455.6%30 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0964…f1d9backed Over40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Over42c24$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9219646.4%91 W · 105 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under44c23.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2357252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Under60c23.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.826144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3ec…f645backed Under61c20.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.81952.6%10 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick68cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Under58c20.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.185846.6%27 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under53c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0748934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.