TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,947
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,900

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,947 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No46c9,264$4,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,231.554,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes57c8,672$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,772.212634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No44c5,775$2,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,554.712,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes55c5,107$2,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,313.9726550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No43c3,884$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.693,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.9838729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50028055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Yes54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.933948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c5b…0584backed Yes55c727.27$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.271241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+45.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes54c613.65$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.611149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Yes56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2203565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Yes54c453.7$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.74146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac6…18e5backed Yes54c453.7$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No45c420.26$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.8479133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Yes55c381.98$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.266750.7%34 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3726645.5%121 W · 145 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c7…9d8fbacked Yes54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.37757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Yes54c349.98$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.997745.5%35 W · 42 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No45c315.66$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.551,04547.8%500 W · 545 L+15.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1352540%10 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd7d…4b2fbacked Yes55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.731145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked No45c264.72$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.122941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Yes53c222.77$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.72924.1%7 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7eb8…902abacked No47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003938.5%15 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2303…b9a7backed No46c201.33$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.61616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-67.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Yes55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903372.7%24 W · 9 L+8.2wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+65.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x6d40…e36cbacked Yes55c182.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.912254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No44c181$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.661,66243.7%727 W · 935 L-23.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.574143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x63d6…3273backed Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.44475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+36%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7efb…add5backed Yes53c174.86$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.89450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes57c157.86$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.866962.3%43 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcbb…fd36backed Yes57c148.44$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.442470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes55c135.73$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.735459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2e5…c638backed Yes54c129.63$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.632142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x76ca…6a3abacked Yes55c128.78$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.95862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+108.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes55c125.45$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4514759.2%87 W · 60 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes56c125$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553844.7%17 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No45c123.91$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1714259.9%85 W · 57 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Yes53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.215967.8%40 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes54c111$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.064850%24 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe56f…3914backed Yes52c104.98$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.391353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ffc…4487backed No48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502556%14 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ccd…1ec9backed No46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick44cpaid-75.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b35…12b3backed Yes64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362548%12 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4525551.4%131 W · 124 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes54c99.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3321355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e2a…8046backed Yes55c98.18$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.182100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+407.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.595952.5%31 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b59…a1cdbacked Yes53c91.17$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.851861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x621e…471fbacked Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.912466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1fc…dc1cbacked Yes55c90.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.381464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2608…34c1backed Yes55c87.27$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.27450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc17…f3c4backed No47c85.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404452.3%23 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No43c79.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7914044.3%62 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa321…751abacked Yes54c79.63$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8819…4cf5backed No47c73.72$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353941%16 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No44c69.51$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8889050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x658c…14f7backed Yes55c63.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf226…9c0fbacked Yes57c61.37$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.395349.1%26 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Yes56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.47749.4%38 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked No40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2413249.2%65 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked No47c59$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.494938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Yes53c57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.798958.4%52 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Yes55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.557354.8%40 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x157a…e4a3backed Yes56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.575453.7%29 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf303…7ee6backed No38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e45…402bbacked Yes54c51.85$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.85977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+67.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No46c50.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2328847.6%137 W · 151 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes53c49.97$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4916936.1%61 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No42c48.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4211753.8%63 W · 54 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a81…b80bbacked Yes55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4510461.5%64 W · 40 L+11.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xda75…7dcbbacked Yes57c44.01$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.011172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+29.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5683…3ea1backed Yes53c44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.683360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed No46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207838.5%30 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No38c43.47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5228846.5%134 W · 154 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1985…8cbdbacked Yes55c43.39$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.395455.6%30 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Yes55c43$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3520947.4%99 W · 110 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2548…b742backed Yes54c40.82$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.825100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a70…cba6backed Yes55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x726d…b10dbacked Yes53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.744057.5%23 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…8528backed Yes54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.043262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c8e…cebfbacked Yes54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.041050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed No44c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.061573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…7009backed Yes56c32.43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.43250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcffa…6148backed Yes53c32.08$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd179…361ebacked Yes56c28.57$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.572972.4%21 W · 8 L+7.0wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+39.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No44c28.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.581,57751.4%811 W · 766 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2619…b17fbacked Yes53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+35%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ca8…d137backed Yes55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.27540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x079a…b899backed Yes57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.321957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7943…29b4backed No46c25.39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.68771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Yes57c24.39$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.544654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefa3…e52bbacked Yes60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+37.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee45…e055backed Yes56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.87268.1%49 W · 23 L+9.5wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+24.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa220…178dbacked Yes55c18.2$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.19850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd364…2778backed Yes64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.