Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd402db702b5277ec47c30f78cb3d77179f400a462b01bcfd833106fe6df6eba6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 39c | 3,752$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.33 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 24c | 3,494$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.31 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 58c | 2,304$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.74 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 42c | 2,046$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.49 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 60c | 1,978$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.39 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 1,935$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.05 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 44c | 1,818$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 145 | 44.1%64 W · 81 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.99 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 59c | 1,042$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.22 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 59c | 1,031$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.77 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 56c | 998.25$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.23 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e17…2e74backed Yes | 43c | 942.4$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.43 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 68c | 808.33$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.24 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 57c | 724.07$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.35 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…2f7ebacked No | 59c | 670.96$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 57c | 499.98$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.99 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 57c | 469.37$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.83 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 59c | 366$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.06 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 43c | 335.7$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.35 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 43c | 328.7$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.55 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 41c | 296$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.36 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed No | 65c | 284.62$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.62 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -8.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 42c | 258$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.32 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdb…7ea3backed Yes | 43c | 253.67$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.08 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14fd…e076backed Yes | 43c | 242.65$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 43c | 240$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 58c | 239.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.79 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef61…89f8backed Yes | 42c | 235.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed No | 57c | 232.96$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.17 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd8…2cf0backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 31c | 226.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee40…ede2backed No | 59c | 218.9$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 58c | 204$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.72 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 43c | 174.37$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 43c | 165.12$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0186…defdbacked Yes | 7c | 160$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked No | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x262c…5f00backed No | 59c | 149.15$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…3464backed Yes | 41c | 148.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 12c | 144.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes | 41c | 130$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 43c | 127.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…f92abacked Yes | 44c | 125$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…96d6backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ae…b45cbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…b9a4backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0050…336cbacked No | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 72cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 67c | 80.42$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed No | 57c | 75.78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…84f6backed Yes | 33c | 65.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef7e…bfd1backed Yes | 43c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 58c | 55.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 60c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…8525backed Yes | 44c | 53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24d5…cf40backed Yes | 42c | 52.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad1…8c20backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed No | 59c | 49.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…c4e3backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed No | 58c | 46.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…6fc1backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f587backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 70c | 44.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed No | 72c | 44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f5…ff36backed Yes | 28c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed Yes | 44c | 40.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 29c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4029…9122backed Yes | 40c | 35.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes | 44c | 35.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…d9e5backed Yes | 43c | 32.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3c…ac4fbacked Yes | 44c | 31.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa87f…c742backed Yes | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae20…245abacked No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc35b…28b6backed Yes | 42c | 28.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-16?this page
- Will Aston Villa vs. Newcastle end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.