Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0390d7eaf5d45e512c215f1e817f5b4daffb3d6492831c32ee60917bd4096dfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 69c | 6,000$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 32c | 3,128$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.96 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 31c | 2,550$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 70c | 1,831$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.42 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 32c | 1,573$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.36 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 64c | 1,442$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.92 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 31c | 1,348$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.94 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 68c | 1,331$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.06 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 68c | 1,257$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.59 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 30c | 860.97$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.29 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 69c | 707.56$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.88 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 63c | 690$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.3 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 32c | 683.14$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 69c | 608.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.79 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 42c | 605.26$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.21 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 64c | 529.6$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.66 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 40c | 519.11$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 31c | 508.92$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.77 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 67c | 500.17$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.66 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Yes | 33c | 455.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 36c | 444.31$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.95 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 64c | 442$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.12 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 37c | 433.86$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.53 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2715…a376backed Yes | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 372.5$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.7 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa8…645bbacked Yes | 31c | 340.03$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.41 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 34c | 339.87$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.55 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 30c | 330.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed No | 70c | 320$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 31c | 319.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 22c | 279.59$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.27 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes | 36c | 277.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 32c | 274$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d7…068bbacked Yes | 46c | 258$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 37c | 243.23$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked No | 68c | 204.5$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.44 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked No | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…06cbbacked Yes | 32c | 187.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f5…ff36backed Yes | 32c | 168.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 59c | 151$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.93 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 33c | 137$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…2f7ebacked Yes | 31c | 125.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e2…a455backed Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d99…24f0backed Yes | 26c | 115.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04df…642ebacked Yes | 32c | 110.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…1115backed Yes | 41c | 107.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…c8b3backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed No | 67c | 99.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes | 42c | 99.46$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…1700backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked No | 69c | 95$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 68c | 88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed Yes | 42c | 85.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -35%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Yes | 32c | 78.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked No | 70c | 74.49$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 55c | 66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…7205backed Yes | 34c | 64.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…d960backed Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 42c | 57.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…8369backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6068…28fdbacked No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed No | 67c | 49.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 69c | 46.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…f868backed Yes | 36c | 40.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…cd34backed Yes | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 66c | 31.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…bb4abacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…2572backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aed…e4f4backed Yes | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed No | 66c | 25.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1320…563cbacked No | 70c | 21.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…9c9bbacked No | 70c | 20.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4289…3df1backed No | 70c | 20.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 64c | 18.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c36…c074backed No | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d31…79fbbacked No | 70c | 14.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-16?this page
- Will Aston Villa vs. Newcastle end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.