TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9d31…79fb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Credit One Charleston Open: Madison Keys vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.57
Miyazaki: Liam Broady vs Kaichi Uchidabacked Liam Broady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$61.2
Sao Paulo: Tomas Barrios vs Hugo Dellienbacked Tomas Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.85
Alicante: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.25
Alicante: Pedro Martinez vs Remy Bertolabacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$19.83
Morelia: Nicolas Mejia vs Andres Martinbacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$14.28
Dubrovnik: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Suzan Lamensbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20.8
Miami Open: Terence Atmane vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.3
Austin: Emerson Jones vs Donna Vekicbacked Emerson Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.16
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanovbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.25
Rio Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Qatar Total Open: Victoria Mboko vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13.86
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+33.3%+$4.99
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$83.14
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$17.91
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.44
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$26.91
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.23
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$19.33
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.22
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+51.5%+$12.36
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$26.57
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+45.3%+$10.59
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15.27
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs. Xtreme Gamingbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.61
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olimpia Milano vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Olimpia Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$12.92
Euro Basket: Italy vs Spainbacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$8.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Utrecht vs. KRC Genk: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+29.9%+$19.59
Will Lazio win on 2025-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Como 1907 vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+37.3%+$21.83
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.55
Will Germany win on 2025-09-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trabzonspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+25%+$23.93
CD Tondela vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$59.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$39.96
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$19.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+69.5%+$12.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$4.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$23.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$199.43
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.