Premier League · resolved market
Will West Ham win on 2025-02-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bbcae7bcd8a8f35977e1e72b32957a9f04ab4af821a6d90bb3a9c08acba3e1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed No | 76c | 14,468$10,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,492.82 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…fc1cbacked Yes | 21c | 7,269$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…50c2backed Yes | 46c | 5,578$2,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 11c | 5,140$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.76 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 11c | 4,050$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc8…3900backed Yes | 36c | 3,286$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 30c | 3,262$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.12 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 70c | 1,910$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.4 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 11c | 1,500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…ef6bbacked Yes | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…14adbacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes | 11c | 824.3$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.29 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…aa56backed Yes | 44c | 800$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 13c | 692.17$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.73 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 58c | 680.6$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.52 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 32c | 655.59$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.9 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 11c | 629.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 9c | 601.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Yes | 32c | 544.8$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.9 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 12c | 499.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d31…79fbbacked No | 75c | 483.71$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.93 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 11c | 482.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.91 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed No | 71c | 358.89$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 13c | 354.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 37c | 349.45$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 27c | 325$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…a8d1backed Yes | 35c | 282.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Yes | 11c | 265.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 10c | 233.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 79c | 199.98$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 5c | 198.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 71 | 16.9%12 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf918…81f9backed Yes | 12c | 196.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 29c | 188.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.78 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65dc…0b11backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7221…df5ebacked Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…2f06backed Yes | 11c | 140.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Yes | 11c | 140$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 10c | 124.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7971…21e6backed Yes | 12c | 102.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 71c | 90.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…2dcfbacked Yes | 28c | 85.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 34c | 73.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…c656backed Yes | 28c | 68.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b7…9a3cbacked Yes | 30c | 60.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…2758backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86ab…5fb4backed Yes | 27c | 41.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…460abacked Yes | 30c | 33.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will West Ham win on 2025-02-03?this page
- Will Chelsea vs. West Ham end in a draw?No won
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-02-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.