Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea vs. West Ham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x950a134a80c0b5726d3b3e54064495eae102f5e844452cf39b3dfdeac75a79ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed No | 73c | 16,290$11,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,326.95 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 14c | 7,881$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.37 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Yes | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 14c | 3,143$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.21 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4c…2f6bbacked Yes | 24c | 2,600$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 14c | 1,979$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.59 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 17c | 1,945$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.69 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 19c | 1,777$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 70c | 1,171$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.85 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 16c | 611.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 69c | 599.99$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes | 15c | 547.86$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.76 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Yes | 50c | 529.09$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb869…c4c6backed Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…4864backed Yes | 29c | 370.97$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 17c | 354.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 17c | 353.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…f87dbacked Yes | 17c | 345$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Yes | 31c | 345$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 13c | 293.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…126cbacked Yes | 8c | 236.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 45c | 229.09$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 11c | 220$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 12c | 215$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 64c | 188.26$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.3 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…0e15backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 15c | 145.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 31c | 131.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…9ca0backed Yes | 18c | 113.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 29c | 106.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked Yes | 14c | 105.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718c…f792backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04e7…f37bbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…18c5backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf011…994fbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe443…980dbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 15c | 99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 17c | 94.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…a8d1backed Yes | 23c | 88.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…c37fbacked No | 72c | 66.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 16c | 65.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Yes | 34c | 57.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c6…d9dbbacked Yes | 18c | 55.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9b…dac5backed Yes | 30c | 40.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5115…b61dbacked Yes | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea vs. West Ham end in a draw?this page
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-02-03?Yes won
- Will West Ham win on 2025-02-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.