TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea win on 2025-02-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$191,746
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$215,246

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,746 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No9c40,265$3,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,650.3279639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No27c16,608$4,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,451.5832037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed No5c15,985$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.4314732.7%48 W · 99 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed No53c11,917$6,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,316.829361.3%57 W · 36 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Yes74c10,430$7,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,702.912744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes73c8,110$5,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,208.5821153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55d8…50c2backed Yes75c6,864$5,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,684.13862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes72c4,000$2,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.843060%18 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Yes75c3,226$2,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.374264.3%27 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No25c3,050$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.9768026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccc0…0fa5backed Yes73c2,584$1,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.751250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed No60c2,204$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.12268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb826…8d67backed Yes74c2,112$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.276137.7%23 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06028070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x945e…2acabacked Yes47c1,813$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.181566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+112.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes72c1,695$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.4240254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes72c1,592$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.1390751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No28c1,500$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.9941437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x379f…bd87backed No27c1,474$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e0a…cadfbacked No27c1,328$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.66475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No33c1,313$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.1638645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Yes69c1,300$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes75c1,235$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.7356453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe81a…1643backed Yes74c1,230$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+79.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed No30c1,202$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.677034.3%24 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked No24c1,100$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2651233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No24c1,030$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.238750.6%44 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No25c1,016$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.1916660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1392…ab2abacked No26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-46.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes39c999.99$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.9940640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5502…207ebacked Yes72c951.54$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.021464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No28c950.23$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.0622050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No26c890.93$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.6483459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c16…df3abacked No26c746.25$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.371631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Yes72c737.24$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.433545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7221…df5ebacked Yes76c697.37$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.373043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-42.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x49dc…9830backed Yes40c647.5$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.55349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes74c590.99$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.9911855.1%65 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6b…47e9backed No26c530$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3c6…d250backed No27c518.53$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes66c515.12$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.5321463.1%135 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9fc…57e9backed Yes77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1153100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0643…7b30backed No44c476.99$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.39119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-72.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes42c473.95$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.8929044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes63c462.54$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.2779650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc70e…cc0dbacked No27c436.33$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.81425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd430…1f89backed No27c419.58$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4c…2f6bbacked Yes39c404.05$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked No27c403.45$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.934151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes73c399.98$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9932736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3dde…6b67backed Yes75c366.23$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.361258.3%7 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick77cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked No28c362.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011342.5%48 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No30c355$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6440135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x442a…7c94backed No42c354.98$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.85825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-67.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes72c350$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9812037.5%45 W · 75 L-15.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcdd0…f87dbacked Yes74c350$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Yes74c349.19$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.1911052.7%58 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed No27c342.98$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9117447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes74c342.43$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4313449.3%66 W · 68 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bc0…3f53backed Yes65c325.17$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.97683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+35.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No26c317.06$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4481559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No27c302.12$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5713547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1745633.9%19 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03b4…af9abacked No27c287.12$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7842240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd2…fec8backed Yes74c277.74$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.21475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+87.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Yes73c272.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.641346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed No60c263.12$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.7215347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.746944.9%31 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf47a…2d0abacked No30c257.98$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea85…02e3backed No28c254.89$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8d5…c1fcbacked No27c251.86$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69a7…ef6bbacked No24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c02…c1a7backed No28c233.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.85450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7c9…64f5backed No28c231.07$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd00e…435fbacked Yes74c229.73$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.732100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Yes45c223.56$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.562138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked No27c218.27$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No58c216$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2821353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Yes59c211.89$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.1110341.7%43 W · 60 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes42c204.1$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.389238%35 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No58c202.32$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11842043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed No26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527343.8%32 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x829a…4cd5backed No25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf351…7b01backed Yes39c200$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc46d…e19ebacked Yes74c193.8$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.73850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc64e…3cdbbacked No26c190$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.86628.8%19 W · 47 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa933…f420backed No28c178.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3ef…99b2backed Yes75c173.76$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes73c172.34$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.726054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd14b…1e20backed Yes74c167$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf835…28d3backed No27c162.93$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee5e…ccddbacked Yes74c155.88$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c4…a0b3backed Yes75c150.4$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.61250%6 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9825…0b95backed Yes74c145.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed No26c144.14$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.254645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7ee…a4a4backed Yes74c143.95$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.43250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0daf…a5adbacked Yes74c141.66$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3e…ac1cbacked Yes77c139.74$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.