TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$190,606
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$191,355

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,606 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0764…e01fbacked No45c153,084$68,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,248.671127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes55c70,000$38,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,5007762.3%48 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes55c50,000$27,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,5005040%20 W · 30 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Yes55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5009459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes55c7,000$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,85024145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes54c4,759$2,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5704845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes55c4,215$2,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,318.3112551.2%64 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd970…c9efbacked Yes55c2,925$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed No48c2,693$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.115961%36 W · 23 L+7.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+35.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes56c2,150$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1006753.7%36 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed No44c1,951$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.295655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7116…b487backed Yes54c1,842$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70af…26fdbacked Yes55c1,809$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed No30c1,781$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.962147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No36c1,007$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.0429545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaa8…645bbacked Yes51c963.87$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.281241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes62c947$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.3213969.8%97 W · 42 L+30.1wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+68.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No46c902$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.082646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+36.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed No55c854.51$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.71650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3222…2823backed Yes52c769.37$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.926144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes57c766$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.626035%21 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Yes57c700$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3991850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dee…a0f4backed Yes30c694.6$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.38742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+79.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5df…fed4backed Yes53c599.99$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.991526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-46.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No45c545.12$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.6835054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked No47c540.74$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.811770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+51.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes55c538.18$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2967468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e86…93c2backed No45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+41.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Yes58c453.45$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.57742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes54c450$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2438525.9%22 W · 63 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-28%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005250%26 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Yes55c401.39$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2084235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No44c400$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2246331.7%20 W · 43 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf69…b3ffbacked Yes52c390$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.8966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6695…6f1abacked Yes56c357.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed No45c352.6$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1942733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003842.1%16 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes26c350$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.55724.6%14 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Yes54c337.33$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1831154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+39.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No58c319.56$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.6217155%94 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No74c308.82$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.5526930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16220255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked No44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1682669.2%18 W · 8 L+6.7wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+42.6%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes57c299$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.4310063%63 W · 37 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0146…d1eabacked Yes55c289.09$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes40c223$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.214,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a8…aadebacked Yes55c222.19$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-67.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc41b…4fdfbacked Yes54c221.43$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes60c218.74$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3728342.8%121 W · 162 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.777452.7%39 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed No66c200.25$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.376753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c61…39f5backed Yes55c196.29$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.96944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x63fd…4bbdbacked Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e85…8414backed Yes28c141.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes51c135$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.055028%14 W · 36 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc57c…0602backed Yes53c132.26$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f0…6a90backed Yes39c124$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.92911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick29cpaid-70.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Yes25c121.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301450%7 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x97cc…bbbfbacked No50c112$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564465.9%29 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Yes53c111$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.839542.1%40 W · 55 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No47c109.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.298939.3%35 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes57c105.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605451.9%28 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No38c103.05$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.913,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No45c100.17$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7743255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8643…85b2backed Yes53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5340%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad14…04febacked Yes55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b4c…b219backed Yes56c98.21$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes56c96.67$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes54c92.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502556%14 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes55c91.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e2…c7fdbacked No52c89.68$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.131127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-55%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed No46c89.37$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.022147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes44c82.87$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.467142.3%30 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf3…2b57backed No58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.971850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8f4…43d0backed Yes53c64.96$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes57c64.91$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3726241.2%108 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306160.7%37 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a9…3561backed Yes56c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.41070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No45c55.07$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2914462.5%90 W · 54 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x88db…ec51backed Yes55c49.8$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.391471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0785…4eb0backed Yes51c49.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked No54c49$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.591668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7869…61d8backed Yes46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed6…a111backed Yes54c43.3$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.381656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No46c41.26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4429053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd413…f838backed Yes30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b3c…cb2abacked Yes52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a6…f9f5backed Yes54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a66…5b12backed Yes54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2da0…12e1backed Yes55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fab…0120backed Yes55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a54…e581backed Yes57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes53c29.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.611261.6%69 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0448…5a75backed Yes57c26.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36c8…6737backed No47c25.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.53771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x553d…2c7dbacked Yes55c25.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.