La Liga · resolved market
Will Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f1616ac87ec025be197d2ac535e0e63b942f07da3681aee6d020b5d70be24a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 1,598$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.72 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed No | 73c | 1,518$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.01 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 37c | 1,120$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.14 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 924.58$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.68 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 43c | 686.65$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.85 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 58c | 667.75$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.17 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 64c | 611.27$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.65 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked No | 54c | 388.17$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.79 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x394b…0cecbacked No | 71c | 384.45$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 70c | 346.72$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.91 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…1d65backed Yes | 39c | 295.85$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 70c | 287.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.42 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 53c | 186.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.98 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 69c | 145.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7b…0179backed Yes | 73c | 116.74$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 33c | 114$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes | 43c | 93.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 59c | 85.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcea…edf9backed Yes | 68c | 73.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57c…0602backed Yes | 40c | 71.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…9115backed Yes | 65c | 69.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…d717backed No | 35c | 42.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 43c | 32.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 72c | 29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…3b00backed Yes | 59c | 24.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 72c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ca96backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Yes | 80c | 14.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?this page
- Will Alaves win on 2025-08-30?No won
- Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.