TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Miyazaki: Liam Broady vs Kaichi Uchida

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Liam Broadyof Liam Broady, Kaichi Uchida
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$143,981
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,751

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,981 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2652…2a1dbacked Liam Broady78c11,659$9,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,508.92,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Liam Broady74c8,374$6,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,157.891,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc8e…f961backed Kaichi Uchida30c5,701$1,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,721.375724.6%14 W · 43 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-30.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x40d5…79a5backed Kaichi Uchida39c5,018$1,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,971.542445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x209a…49aebacked Liam Broady71c5,000$3,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Kaichi Uchida5c4,975$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.8230715.6%48 W · 259 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Kaichi Uchida22c4,606$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.376,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae15…bb83backed Kaichi Uchida29c3,400$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Kaichi Uchida28c2,317$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6468659.3%51 W · 35 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Kaichi Uchida22c2,029$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.214,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Kaichi Uchida23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46058232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Kaichi Uchida22c1,950$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.22,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Kaichi Uchida21c1,831$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.892,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Liam Broady80c1,782$1,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.541,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Liam Broady73c1,757$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.6769249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde5a…4db5backed Kaichi Uchida23c1,722$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005736.8%21 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Kaichi Uchida22c1,696$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.0673745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0d…ca21backed Kaichi Uchida8c1,579$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.87948.1%38 W · 41 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Kaichi Uchida22c1,558$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.9999044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70cd…942fbacked Kaichi Uchida29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Kaichi Uchida35c1,444$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.59,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Liam Broady72c1,411$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.961,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Liam Broady75c1,399$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.187357.5%42 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked Kaichi Uchida44c1,392$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.97755.8%43 W · 34 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kaichi Uchida12c1,366$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.488,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabe0…5adbbacked Kaichi Uchida19c1,170$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.5433163.7%211 W · 120 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Liam Broady77c1,100$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2534,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Kaichi Uchida22c1,053$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.8226941.3%111 W · 158 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Kaichi Uchida39c1,047$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4101,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x068a…6fe7backed Kaichi Uchida29c1,018$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006852.9%36 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Kaichi Uchida20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe779…335ebacked Liam Broady72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-26.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Kaichi Uchida19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.5530857.1%176 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Kaichi Uchida27c909.25$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.141,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce3f…e1e1backed Liam Broady75c750$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e3…0078backed Liam Broady76c700$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.15580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1f4…92b2backed Liam Broady64c621.02$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.023956.4%22 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Kaichi Uchida17c605.82$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.111,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Kaichi Uchida13c598.98$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6428933.2%96 W · 193 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Liam Broady79c587.12$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4946649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Kaichi Uchida24c582.15$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.871,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bc…5616backed Liam Broady80c529.68$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.947842.3%33 W · 45 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd07…8d16backed Liam Broady71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1456354%34 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b8…632abacked Liam Broady78c464.93$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.414344.1%63 W · 80 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Liam Broady73c434$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.942,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Kaichi Uchida25c427.88$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.581,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Kaichi Uchida23c400$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Liam Broady69c391$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.6492548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Kaichi Uchida18c369.83$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1737153.9%200 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kaichi Uchida14c343.27$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.543,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Kaichi Uchida22c338.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.393,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Kaichi Uchida44c318.82$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1409761.9%60 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Kaichi Uchida10c308.36$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9345147.2%213 W · 238 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x931e…e8e8backed Liam Broady72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed Liam Broady77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5323865.5%156 W · 82 L+31.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+20%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Liam Broady71c293.54$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.244,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Liam Broady76c283.95$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9518957.1%108 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Kaichi Uchida25c279$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7839751.4%204 W · 193 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked Kaichi Uchida25c259.26$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked Kaichi Uchida43c233.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033149.2%163 W · 168 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Kaichi Uchida11c211.09$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.82,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d31…79fbbacked Liam Broady71c211.04$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.21361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb92f…58c4backed Kaichi Uchida48c208.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030653.3%163 W · 143 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Kaichi Uchida44c202.16$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9524350.2%122 W · 121 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7f…ad2cbacked Liam Broady64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Kaichi Uchida24c199.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Kaichi Uchida21c199.88$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9786835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Kaichi Uchida20c185$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3772132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Kaichi Uchida25c179.98$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.43,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x59db…2e36backed Liam Broady61c171.26$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2614772.8%107 W · 40 L+19.7wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+22.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x72bc…e667backed Liam Broady60c163$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.013458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Kaichi Uchida27c156.35$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.126,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Liam Broady58c155$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.354555.6%25 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Kaichi Uchida20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309745.4%44 W · 53 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kaichi Uchida18c149.93$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f1c…94d3backed Kaichi Uchida45c145.69$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.563452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+34.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86a0…c66dbacked Liam Broady71c144.34$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.864100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4008…2942backed Kaichi Uchida23c144.26$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.186041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Kaichi Uchida21c142.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3071165.1%463 W · 248 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Kaichi Uchida21c141.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.651,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Liam Broady77c140.81$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9516757.5%96 W · 71 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc54c…6a13backed Kaichi Uchida25c139.79$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2714355.9%80 W · 63 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Liam Broady72c137$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.331,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Liam Broady73c136.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.982,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x677e…5072backed Liam Broady75c133.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick70cpaid-66.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Liam Broady76c131.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6557349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Kaichi Uchida20c129.18$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8410242.2%43 W · 59 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb03…1a23backed Kaichi Uchida40c128$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.794833.3%16 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+64.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Liam Broady79c127.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0339955.4%221 W · 178 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Liam Broady79c126.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8748652.1%253 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Liam Broady79c126$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4629958.5%175 W · 124 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6d5…7c98backed Liam Broady80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257542.7%32 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Liam Broady60c117.15$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2862534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0fc…b74bbacked Liam Broady74c113.73$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.041888.9%16 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.22per pick67cpaid+32.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Liam Broady79c112$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2681255.3%449 W · 363 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Liam Broady71c109.84$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0557052.6%300 W · 270 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5765…43a3backed Kaichi Uchida20c105.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.11233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-49.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Liam Broady76c103.34$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.859954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6617…dfb9backed Kaichi Uchida29c102.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1724249.2%119 W · 123 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Kaichi Uchida27c100.46$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.121,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.