TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Austin: Emerson Jones vs Donna Vekic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Emerson Jonesof Emerson Jones, Donna Vekic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,271

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,271 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde9f…d43cbacked Emerson Jones76c9,500$7,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,282.966,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Donna Vekic18c4,462$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.892,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Donna Vekic27c3,471$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.941,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabef…3004backed Donna Vekic63c2,300$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.982356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Donna Vekic68c2,234$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,525.1630241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Donna Vekic30c2,022$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.962,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a12…d3febacked Donna Vekic62c1,944$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.449247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Emerson Jones37c1,605$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.983,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7406…0831backed Donna Vekic64c1,523$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ed…cb84backed Emerson Jones36c1,523$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb075…93eebacked Donna Vekic64c1,450$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c73…b604backed Emerson Jones36c1,450$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83f3…f872backed Donna Vekic64c1,450$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72e7…d6bfbacked Emerson Jones36c1,450$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Emerson Jones75c1,223$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.778,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee6…48c6backed Donna Vekic39c1,219$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-60.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x740f…bf3cbacked Donna Vekic20c1,037$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.973821.1%8 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Emerson Jones32c1,000$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6804,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Emerson Jones43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57037540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Donna Vekic10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028726.8%77 W · 210 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Emerson Jones35c999.98$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.9946932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Donna Vekic34c966.41$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.922,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Donna Vekic30c885.67$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.522,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Donna Vekic21c685.74$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.939,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9175…bd29backed Donna Vekic61c660.63$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.988446.4%39 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Emerson Jones37c576.8$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.3819338.9%75 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+109.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Emerson Jones36c538.11$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.551,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Emerson Jones74c503.37$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.371,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Emerson Jones39c501.56$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3051,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Donna Vekic66c500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33031146%143 W · 168 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Emerson Jones37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31534745.2%157 W · 190 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cf4…ed22backed Emerson Jones37c470.97$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.7118447.3%87 W · 97 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+26.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Emerson Jones39c468$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.481,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Donna Vekic3c450$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.511826.3%31 W · 87 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Emerson Jones36c447.09$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.961,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Emerson Jones35c412.89$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.295846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Emerson Jones39c400$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24486835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Emerson Jones80c387.96$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5981933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Donna Vekic27c373.89$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6562534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Emerson Jones37c369.5$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.531,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Donna Vekic22c368.45$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.061,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked Donna Vekic29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012032.5%39 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f41…5c9fbacked Emerson Jones35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19515848.7%77 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Donna Vekic64c300$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19253457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Donna Vekic33c258.27$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.293,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Emerson Jones37c251$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.194332.6%14 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Donna Vekic28c243.5$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3530131.9%96 W · 205 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ae5…f4cabacked Donna Vekic22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505824.1%14 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Emerson Jones64c206.34$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.638147%179 W · 202 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Emerson Jones35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13027344.7%122 W · 151 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Donna Vekic64c199.99$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.997342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9edc…b088backed Emerson Jones38c199.8$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.9528424.3%69 W · 215 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Emerson Jones32c195$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.67,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Donna Vekic25c172.18$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.863,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x537a…7447backed Donna Vekic41c167.04$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7630351.8%157 W · 146 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Emerson Jones36c163.15$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3930258.6%177 W · 125 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Donna Vekic35c157.97$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.676,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84c6…68dabacked Emerson Jones38c155.87$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.872263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.6wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+51%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Emerson Jones37c142.36$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.691,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cf0…0d6cbacked Donna Vekic8c136.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.581844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick31cpaid-23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Emerson Jones37c136$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6885748.2%413 W · 444 L+33.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Emerson Jones74c134.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Emerson Jones36c133.17$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.67,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Emerson Jones39c128.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9769253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5661…6323backed Emerson Jones78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2110267.6%69 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Emerson Jones64c127.33$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.412,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Emerson Jones36c122.47$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3897141.4%402 W · 569 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x277c…e529backed Emerson Jones37c108.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.115446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Emerson Jones37c104.15$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.611,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2818…04a2backed Emerson Jones39c102.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.568465.5%55 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Donna Vekic64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6477967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Donna Vekic27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2751539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Donna Vekic65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6538268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Emerson Jones36c85.86$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9518133.1%60 W · 121 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e1d…43a1backed Emerson Jones41c85.37$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.371735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Emerson Jones62c84$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1643951.9%228 W · 211 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Emerson Jones63c82.25$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.752,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Emerson Jones38c78.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.952,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe761…4f54backed Emerson Jones79c75.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2126349.4%130 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3578…f163backed Donna Vekic62c64.55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4039872.4%288 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3746…a99fbacked Donna Vekic24c59.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.167041.4%29 W · 41 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-30.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Emerson Jones35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1454050.4%272 W · 268 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Emerson Jones37c54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0277047.9%369 W · 401 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Emerson Jones37c54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0229244.5%130 W · 162 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Donna Vekic32c52$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4637342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda4f…77e9backed Donna Vekic62c51.27$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.653231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-42.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Emerson Jones37c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.51,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Emerson Jones39c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.536349.9%181 W · 182 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Donna Vekic31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.428247.9%135 W · 147 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Emerson Jones36c39.65$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.181,14247.3%540 W · 602 L+65.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Donna Vekic62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2094060.6%570 W · 370 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd7…db07backed Donna Vekic66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019251.6%99 W · 93 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed Emerson Jones37c29.49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5830853.6%165 W · 143 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Emerson Jones35c28.58$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5843353.6%232 W · 201 L+32.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x586d…fb12backed Emerson Jones68c26.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.321172%152 W · 59 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d31…79fbbacked Emerson Jones74c23.7$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.161361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0a…644abacked Emerson Jones76c20.71$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0216175.2%121 W · 40 L+20.4wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+16.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Emerson Jones72c20.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7757252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Emerson Jones78c18.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.12,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Donna Vekic64c18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4633651.5%173 W · 163 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.