Euroleague · resolved market
Euro Basket: Italy vs Spain
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b3e0176b07bb442ac1669394486d9e66e6ccaff03337daaa9fe53bc8e831b86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Italyof Italy, Spain
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Italy | 49c | 15,090$7,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,625.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Spain | 59c | 11,948$7,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,049.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Spain | 45c | 5,254$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Italy | 49c | 4,597$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.05 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Spain | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Italy | 55c | 2,699$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Italy | 50c | 1,753$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.53 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Spain | 44c | 1,750$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Italy | 56c | 1,391$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.42 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Spain | 39c | 1,332$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.76 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…beedbacked Italy | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafdc…e9c9backed Spain | 24c | 916.19$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Spain | 58c | 911.15$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.95 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Italy | 57c | 845.12$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spain | 38c | 795.67$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.77 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Italy | 65c | 769.31$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…9bd2backed Spain | 45c | 755.56$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Italy | 58c | 750.88$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.88 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -7.9wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Italy | 52c | 748.79$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.9 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Spain | 44c | 608.11$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +127%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Spain | 44c | 599.99$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Spain | 42c | 599.98$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.99 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Italy | 58c | 552.21$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.21 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…4979backed Italy | 43c | 525.58$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39ea…f75bbacked Italy | 58c | 518.25$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.25 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf488…b954backed Spain | 45c | 446.19$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd032…8183backed Italy | 57c | 441.32$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Spain | 43c | 364.07$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.55 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Spain | 62c | 324.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Italy | 55c | 324.27$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.92 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x521b…db60backed Spain | 43c | 299.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f6…c600backed Spain | 46c | 271.74$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Italy | 76c | 230.24$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Italy | 37c | 229.1$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Italy | 55c | 228.33$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Spain | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 56cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Italy | 55c | 210$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Spain | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed Italy | 58c | 200.13$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Italy | 54c | 199.2$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a7…30abbacked Italy | 63c | 150.68$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…729bbacked Spain | 45c | 132.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Spain | 47c | 120$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Italy | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Spain | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…7564backed Italy | 50c | 88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Spain | 45c | 82.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Spain | 41c | 77.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…ec02backed Italy | 57c | 68.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed Italy | 56c | 64.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92c1…d6bfbacked Italy | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1424…4f78backed Italy | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Spain | 42c | 47.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed Italy | 57c | 43.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…cad5backed Spain | 47c | 42.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Italy | 55c | 42.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…7902backed Italy | 44c | 34.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Spain | 43c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff6…bfd4backed Spain | 65c | 30.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8f…b377backed Italy | 54c | 29.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…0faabacked Italy | 77c | 23.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Italy | 51c | 22.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Italy | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d31…79fbbacked Italy | 58c | 20.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.