TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Lazio win on 2025-04-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,840
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,000

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,840 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes45c10,012$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5002718.5%5 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-61%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd3cf…a5d4backed No75c8,818$6,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,238.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No55c5,155$2,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,319.9533055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No59c4,353$2,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,791.317566.7%50 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked No57c3,344$1,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.822669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2929…d0d5backed Yes42c2,524$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b59…5f20backed No58c2,524$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes43c2,463$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.033040%12 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No58c2,233$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.682272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b28…4843backed Yes41c1,942$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes43c1,744$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.795048%24 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No56c1,662$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.6227939.8%111 W · 168 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Yes42c1,429$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-46.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No57c1,257$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.99850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133e…4224backed Yes41c1,209$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ad…7a9bbacked No57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No56c698.76$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.9924655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked No77c611.69$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.346100%6 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+82.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Yes42c534.24$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.38425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd25d…eb15backed Yes43c485$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcaf5…4c25backed Yes32c456.66$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Yes42c441.29$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.341353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97df…3088backed No80c323.14$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.065100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+74.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3bba…35b4backed Yes14c278.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed No61c250$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.338456%47 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Yes43c221.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.453941%16 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaee…44a4backed Yes43c215$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1225…3a54backed Yes44c215$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73e0…b1b4backed Yes43c215$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes39c207.91$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.089145.1%41 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes42c201.64$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.697435.1%26 W · 48 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8414042.1%59 W · 81 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes39c181.86$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.934341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b7b…330abacked Yes43c165$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.95540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-42.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa94e…c540backed Yes44c165$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc14…e34cbacked Yes43c165$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.95728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-58.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Yes42c143.44$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No57c139.98$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.193265.6%21 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked No58c130.95$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+71.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Yes41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507521.3%16 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e78…e415backed Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05ff…b701backed Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Yes41c113.07$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.36633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-41%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed No59c109.76$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No54c109$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1410852.8%57 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No54c109$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1423757%135 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x318a…360bbacked Yes42c106.97$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes40c102.98$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1815846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f5…d9c7backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed No61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393066.7%20 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+38.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes44c99.16$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.635240.4%21 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes44c91.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No57c87.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.717145.1%32 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d70…b17ebacked Yes43c80.8$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351580%12 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+29.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa2fe…3418backed Yes43c75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec2c…1b20backed Yes41c74.74$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.631353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed No63c70.91$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.392360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17ca…5178backed Yes43c69.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No69c68.35$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.197759.7%46 W · 31 L+9.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No54c67.66$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.44360.5%26 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No56c67.27$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6113650%68 W · 68 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d31…79fbbacked Yes42c66.58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…d647backed Yes43c65.71$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick39cpaid-59%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc36…180fbacked Yes42c61.55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aa4…c7c8backed Yes41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251010%1 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.34per pick44cpaid-80.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x99f9…004dbacked Yes44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253735.1%13 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e09…fd64backed Yes29c54.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.87616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-72.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fce…2566backed No57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9f…2a46backed No60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201520%3 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-57.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d9f…af72backed Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e08…184bbacked Yes42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12e6…5468backed Yes37c47.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-50.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cdc…7cddbacked Yes43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf088…4942backed Yes46c45.52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.941428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-53.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5193…2fc6backed Yes42c45.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed No57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8614733.3%49 W · 98 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d6…423fbacked Yes42c39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6556…8681backed Yes41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3775…5493backed Yes41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Yes42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154533.3%15 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No57c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0514252.1%74 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b04…53b7backed Yes42c34.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76bc…009fbacked Yes42c32.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.65812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-77.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bec…e35fbacked Yes43c30.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked No75c29.73$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.431861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6245…d3c0backed No59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.421070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92bd…019dbacked Yes43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.