Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Bodo/Glimt vs. Lazio end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0469284753356dd1bcf672de1380ddf4ecb2113909b8d226c88d79b246b2961
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1476…ce65backed No | 73c | 10,001$7,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…56febacked Yes | 27c | 9,995$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa190…5af2backed No | 73c | 9,992$7,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,697.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…65d1backed Yes | 27c | 9,992$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Yes | 29c | 3,074$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 71c | 2,973$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.2 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…3a54backed No | 73c | 995$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc00…d9e8backed No | 73c | 995$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.65 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…865bbacked Yes | 28c | 990$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yes | 29c | 741.31$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 33c | 504.37$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.96 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked No | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa345…55afbacked Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa94e…c540backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…7123backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1d…9a9bbacked Yes | 28c | 270$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb94d…4402backed Yes | 28c | 270$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…7815backed Yes | 27c | 270$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…f59bbacked No | 72c | 245$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…f9d7backed No | 72c | 240$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93b…7f3ebacked No | 72c | 210$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Yes | 28c | 182.14$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed No | 70c | 157.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 71c | 145.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +31%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbdba…fbb8backed No | 74c | 135.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…602dbacked No | 72c | 135$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes | 26c | 125.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…a86ebacked No | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd34…e470backed Yes | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 72c | 85.71$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…8339backed No | 73c | 75.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…a802backed Yes | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 33c | 72.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…44a4backed Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb160…812bbacked Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d62…f8eabacked Yes | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7b…330abacked Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa911…9f8abacked Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5224…a664backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…526abacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ba…e172backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bodo/Glimt vs. Lazio end in a draw?this page
- Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-04-10?Yes won
- Will Lazio win on 2025-04-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.