TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbc36…180f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.07
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100%+$21.6
Hawks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+96.1%+$18.21
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+37%+$3.84
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.54
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.48
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$9.97
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$10.6
Clippers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+37%+$4.12
Wizards vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$28.86
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+61.3%+$27.98
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Andres Andradebacked Andres Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.48
Credit One Charleston Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Eva Vedderbacked Polina Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.28
Rio Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ignacio Busebacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$32.55
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanovbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+25%+$6.51
Rio Open: Joao Fonseca vs Thiago Monteirobacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.51
Jiangxi Open: Yue Yuan vs Elena Pridankinabacked Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.46
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Ethan Quinnbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+48.3%+$7.31
Rolex Paris Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Arthur Cazauxbacked Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$17.65
ATP Umag – Taberner vs. Darderibacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$10.63
ATP Washington D.C: Medvedev vs. Opelkabacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$5.67
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick69cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+54.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+60.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+46.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+87.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+25%+$25.04
Will Bologna win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+150%+$22.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.41
Will Pump.fun launch a token by June 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$11.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$65.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Sep 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win on 2025-09-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.