Tennis · resolved market
ATP Umag – Taberner vs. Darderi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbfde3826edf7174d15d6f3ef563ccbc7f5bbac286e77181f1bc0ec7a9c73c5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Darderiof Taberner, Darderi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Taberner | 28c | 5,611$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.39 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Taberner | 36c | 5,556$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Darderi | 64c | 4,601$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.3 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Darderi | 69c | 2,609$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.7 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Darderi | 68c | 1,605$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.72 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Darderi | 64c | 1,556$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.75 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0447…60abbacked Darderi | 68c | 1,497$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.13 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Darderi | 73c | 1,200$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…a496backed Taberner | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Taberner | 34c | 799.99$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ee…0ab9backed Darderi | 66c | 636.15$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Taberner | 36c | 574.31$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdc…7cddbacked Taberner | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.18per pick | 34cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Taberner | 32c | 311.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…63d8backed Darderi | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f7…58dbbacked Darderi | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Taberner | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Darderi | 65c | 247$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.45 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Taberner | 32c | 224$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Darderi | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Darderi | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Taberner | 32c | 199.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.1 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Darderi | 66c | 161.61$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Darderi | 69c | 160.87$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Darderi | 69c | 160$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Taberner | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Darderi | 68c | 146.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Taberner | 8c | 140.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Taberner | 32c | 118.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Darderi | 70c | 117.06$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 103 | 72.8%75 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Darderi | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Taberner | 30c | 112.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Darderi | 70c | 112.86$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Darderi | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb9…450dbacked Taberner | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Darderi | 66c | 85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Darderi | 64c | 77.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…aff4backed Darderi | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Darderi | 69c | 65.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Taberner | 33c | 50.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Darderi | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Taberner | 34c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Darderi | 73c | 46.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Darderi | 67c | 40.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9e97backed Darderi | 69c | 36.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc36…180fbacked Darderi | 69c | 34.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Darderi | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd0…6f8cbacked Darderi | 69c | 28.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d6…796dbacked Darderi | 69c | 27.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b1…9380backed Darderi | 70c | 26.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9eb…8be1backed Darderi | 69c | 23.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac08…3f5fbacked Darderi | 72c | 22.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x591b…9c67backed Darderi | 69c | 20.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1722…28dfbacked Darderi | 69c | 19.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9f…b79cbacked Darderi | 69c | 15.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.