Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford win on 2025-05-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2c13e287140255a3792de4cfcd33d06f46987cde1065e5d2270557611f259e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 44c | 3,182$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.45 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 59c | 1,597$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.68 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed No | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 29c | 999.94$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.96 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e5…ba7dbacked Yes | 28c | 985$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d57…99f5backed Yes | 28c | 980$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 29c | 963.91$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.02 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x763f…81e9backed No | 71c | 849.48$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.13 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 71cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 70c | 608.07$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.65 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked No | 70c | 600$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes | 30c | 573.83$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.68 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8142…b413backed No | 72c | 570$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 73cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.87 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 30c | 480.36$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.25 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes | 29c | 469.24$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.16 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dd…6a6fbacked No | 72c | 415$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0f…05fdbacked Yes | 63c | 318.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c00…b206backed No | 72c | 295$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41d5…601fbacked No | 72c | 290$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…7443backed Yes | 30c | 259.33$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 37cpaid | +113%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0d…1bafbacked No | 72c | 210$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 69c | 200.96$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.66 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa124…4891backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 71c | 150$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…5c09backed No | 70c | 142.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6efc…c084backed No | 72c | 140$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…b5cbbacked No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 70c | 127$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.27 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 76c | 114.25$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb3…17cdbacked Yes | 28c | 113$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…d242backed No | 72c | 113$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 73cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Yes | 33c | 105$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb447…8582backed No | 70c | 100.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x996f…3748backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd0…6f8cbacked No | 70c | 98.09$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 41c | 96.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc73f…b237backed No | 72c | 86.9$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…8dc7backed No | 73c | 86.51$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed No | 71c | 86.32$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e88…b2b2backed No | 73c | 84.27$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…193abacked Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…a5b0backed No | 72c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 31c | 74.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…addabacked No | 70c | 72.69$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked No | 71c | 71.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…78d1backed No | 70c | 70.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 73c | 68.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes | 30c | 66.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d9…8f14backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 73c | 64.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x369d…6d58backed No | 71c | 63.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43c4…fb23backed No | 73c | 62.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc36…180fbacked No | 71c | 58.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 69c | 57.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 29c | 54.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe717…608dbacked No | 71c | 53.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…8f94backed No | 70c | 47.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 56c | 47.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fee…6d03backed No | 70c | 47.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…e7eebacked No | 71c | 44.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -5.7wins | -0.44per pick | 59cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed No | 71c | 43.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…27fbbacked No | 70c | 42.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 70c | 40.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1f…41b7backed No | 71c | 37.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4203…9217backed Yes | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73cd…c78fbacked No | 71c | 36.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc625…522abacked No | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ae…613abacked No | 71c | 34.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b0…f2afbacked No | 71c | 30.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d13…cd85backed Yes | 65c | 30.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e1…8ca9backed No | 72c | 30.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 55c | 25.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…009fbacked No | 45c | 22.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked No | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde75…996bbacked No | 72c | 19.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da8…b5cebacked No | 70c | 17.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford win on 2025-05-01?this page
- Will Nottingham Forest vs. Brentford end in a draw?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.