TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,952
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,894

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,952 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…1dd2backed No58c15,030$8,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,345.786953.6%37 W · 32 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee63…07a4backed Yes42c10,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,200650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No57c8,613$4,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,703.413829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No55c4,622$2,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,091.6779650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes45c3,839$1,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,713.9741437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No64c2,718$1,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.6738645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes43c2,624$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.3712037.5%45 W · 75 L-15.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x37af…4086backed No57c1,800$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.98757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes46c1,726$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80012053.3%64 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Yes42c1,683$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.848842%37 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes46c1,630$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75012252.5%64 W · 58 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x970c…b40dbacked Yes43c1,600$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked No54c1,447$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.4711454.4%62 W · 52 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes43c1,395$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+11.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…591abacked Yes42c1,200$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043119.4%6 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-64.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7dd…3696backed Yes2c1,067$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221540%6 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43027752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed No59c1,000$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.128453.6%45 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a24…7892backed Yes45c863.4$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.53683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yes40c760.88$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.3520744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Yes38c704.85$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.8483459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Yes43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No56c620.8$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.1540046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes17c591$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes43c560$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.821153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21040640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Yes43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2151050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21517837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dbf…ec66backed Yes31c452.69$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402718.5%5 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-55.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Yes7c445$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.151526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes44c434.13$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.971,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed No57c417.9$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes43c378.96$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.2590751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No56c369.09$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.2514953.7%80 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Yes42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12611761.5%72 W · 45 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8815…e147backed Yes10c295.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.463345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x177a…c284backed Yes43c230.23$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992045%9 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005330.2%16 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…73e6backed Yes5c223.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.161921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-69.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked No54c217.39$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1009255.4%51 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98f6…79d2backed Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006435.9%23 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Yes47c214.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005635.7%20 W · 36 L-9.0wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011640.5%47 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Yes24c207.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505543.6%24 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa08d…4ddbbacked Yes41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes41c195$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9542048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes25c194.3$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.635633.9%19 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No54c184.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.0981559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Yes20c171.8$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3610341.7%43 W · 60 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No54c165.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3652060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed No66c143$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.026051.7%31 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0447…e3aebacked No56c141.07$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.07425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-55.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cf4…15ddbacked No56c138.29$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.611752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes44c134.09$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597061.4%43 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b0d…3719backed Yes43c127.05$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2142…82d9backed Yes43c125.37$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.91540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6834…2bd2backed Yes41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc3d…498abacked Yes43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.63630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7936…9306backed Yes43c116.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.991225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-44.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf76a…355dbacked Yes43c113.86$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ccc…9c64backed Yes43c110.93$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf088…4942backed Yes47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504131.7%13 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-38.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf3d4…9751backed Yes43c106.05$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…956abacked Yes43c105.79$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes44c102.27$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510545.7%48 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1066031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Yes42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424422.7%10 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54f5…d9c7backed Yes42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x70ff…aa94backed Yes45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4513354.9%73 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Yes42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424839.6%19 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x25d7…14fbbacked No58c94.64$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8047…c804backed No58c91.38$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c7…04f6backed No58c91.17$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d13…cd85backed Yes44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-34.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x130a…9b67backed No58c90.07$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.83580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+48%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Yes43c90$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.712357.7%71 W · 52 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06cc…ded1backed Yes44c90$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.61145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad2…c0b2backed No58c87.79$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf068…7f4bbacked Yes40c87$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eca…fc20backed Yes40c85$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+46.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x36df…d282backed No58c82.97$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.853100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+96.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x214d…23f2backed No58c80.47$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x095e…a0a9backed No58c78.84$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.11580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f1f…bc9fbacked No58c78.33$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd90a…4dbabacked Yes45c68.13$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c3…ad21backed Yes43c67.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x056a…611fbacked Yes46c65.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.237638.2%29 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No54c65.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.130149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec89…3286backed Yes46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017146.8%80 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb482…fbc7backed Yes22c63.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14140%0 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c46…04adbacked No64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes41c59.66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4629238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c42…9ce3backed Yes43c58.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.023551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No54c55.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7559958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc57d…12b5backed Yes46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x807b…89b7backed Yes36c52.21$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.