NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Nets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x081e2f0f53922c8cb3722adea23ea06f750549fe2ab694dbb659a1b70aae8f49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $369,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $402,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $369,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nets | 16c | 72,527$11,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,767.73 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2d…2fe3backed Nets | 41c | 40,452$16,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,585.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53c…563bbacked Raptors | 59c | 40,452$23,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,585.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Raptors | 62c | 40,347$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,346.82 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Raptors | 57c | 18,000$10,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,740 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nets | 29c | 15,184$4,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,472.62 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Nets | 43c | 11,983$5,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,129.49 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Nets | 25c | 11,804$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992.35 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Raptors | 55c | 9,354$5,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,179.4 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Nets | 43c | 7,784$3,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,345.13 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Nets | 45c | 7,778$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Nets | 19c | 7,440$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.33 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Nets | 44c | 6,214$2,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Nets | 43c | 5,901$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,546.06 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…2f8dbacked Nets | 42c | 5,107$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fa…4249backed Raptors | 58c | 5,100$2,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Nets | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Nets | 2c | 3,845$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nets | 41c | 3,728$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.62 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Nets | 44c | 3,683$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.52 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…4673backed Raptors | 59c | 3,501$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Raptors | 56c | 3,231$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.75 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Nets | 1c | 3,100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nets | 24c | 3,062$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.72 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Nets | 43c | 2,599$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.95 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Nets | 8c | 2,364$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.65 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Nets | 42c | 2,356$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Nets | 2c | 2,202$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Nets | 3c | 2,165$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.85 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Nets | 24c | 2,121$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.27 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Raptors | 57c | 2,032$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.84 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Raptors | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nets | 17c | 1,962$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.52 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nets | 41c | 1,772$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.05 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Nets | 3c | 1,643$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…dac0backed Raptors | 76c | 1,504$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Nets | 3c | 1,486$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Raptors | 55c | 1,317$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.35 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116f…2737backed Nets | 42c | 1,280$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b59…5f20backed Raptors | 58c | 1,280$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Raptors | 58c | 1,202$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.84 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Raptors | 58c | 1,077$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.91 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Nets | 27c | 1,030$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.1 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nets | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…9e96backed Raptors | 59c | 854.24$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Raptors | 56c | 843.32$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.29 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Raptors | 60c | 834$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.92 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Raptors | 57c | 798.87$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.53 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Nets | 4c | 790$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Raptors | 57c | 703.03$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.03 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd361…3885backed Raptors | 65c | 618.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.31 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Raptors | 73c | 599.65$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.22 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Nets | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Nets | 44c | 580$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.2 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…d81bbacked Nets | 41c | 554.98$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.54 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Raptors | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Raptors | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Nets | 42c | 498.9$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.16 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Raptors | 55c | 495.97$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.84 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…a40abacked Raptors | 65c | 458.39$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.39 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Nets | 46c | 455.39$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.48 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e0…f11cbacked Raptors | 55c | 433.16$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.92 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ed…58a1backed Nets | 15c | 410.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nets | 27c | 410.19$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.19 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Raptors | 58c | 399.95$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.98 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02e…88d5backed Raptors | 56c | 388.52$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.95 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Raptors | 57c | 366.68$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.18 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Raptors | 56c | 325.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.72 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0397…0657backed Raptors | 57c | 312.28$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.28 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Nets | 43c | 300.49$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.6 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Raptors | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Raptors | 58c | 299.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Nets | 38c | 287.64$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.11 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a8…5df3backed Nets | 45c | 259.84$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Nets | 43c | 258.52$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.22 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…3c50backed Raptors | 56c | 248.93$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.53 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Raptors | 56c | 241.07$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.07 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Nets | 44c | 240$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.8 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Raptors | 56c | 227.2$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.97 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nets | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Raptors | 59c | 222$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Nets | 11c | 201$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Raptors | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Raptors | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Nets | 43c | 199.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Raptors | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c37…4e9bbacked Raptors | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423b…0972backed Raptors | 60c | 146.42$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Raptors | 62c | 136.24$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1c…b61bbacked Nets | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a2…1657backed Nets | 12c | 125.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb895…ffe4backed Nets | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nets | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Nets | 44c | 115.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4128…021cbacked Nets | 44c | 115.16$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…877abacked Nets | 46c | 114.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…a3ccbacked Nets | 45c | 113$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdb…70efbacked Raptors | 55c | 113$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86cd…b5e3backed Raptors | 54c | 112$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…203ebacked Nets | 46c | 112$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.