TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$150,549
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,531

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,549 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes4c25,455$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.1633055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13de…e133backed Yes75c19,800$14,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,787250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No27c16,392$4,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,885.324557.6%141 W · 104 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf661…d170backed No27c8,500$2,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,204.86540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+127.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No26c8,405$2,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,219.841931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No26c8,027$2,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,939.922540%10 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Yes76c7,283$5,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,523.151118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.33per pick51cpaid-73.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2232…f6fabacked Yes73c6,704$4,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,875.6520%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No26c6,614$1,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,861.495532.7%18 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes70c5,945$4,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,182.283,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No25c5,189$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,900.4515151%77 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No26c5,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,699.935536.4%20 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes75c4,879$3,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6732642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No76c4,227$3,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.252737%10 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes26c4,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0403839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes48c3,349$1,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,621.422,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes72c3,223$2,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,318.127848.7%38 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed No27c3,216$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,348.031060%6 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+77%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a23…4e9fbacked Yes73c3,000$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,19010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c5e…7ab3backed No26c3,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No24c2,033$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.7927939.8%111 W · 168 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No24c2,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.972343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes72c2,000$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,434.898420.2%17 W · 67 L-12.1wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-51.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Yes45c1,730$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.01425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb0…2fd8backed Yes73c1,370$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes24c1,340$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.948755.2%48 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x42a8…81f5backed Yes75c1,331$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd495…248ebacked Yes74c1,216$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x278a…95dbbacked Yes73c1,065$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No26c1,000$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74014042.1%59 W · 81 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…5696backed No27c1,000$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+74.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No26c999.46$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.64843.8%21 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes72c989.12$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.1721237.3%79 W · 133 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes28c893.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes74c839.87$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6193464.7%22 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No30c778.17$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54520132.3%65 W · 136 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked No27c733.52$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.471030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No79c715.65$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.3912247.5%58 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x511a…9745backed Yes73c684.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No25c677$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.756949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d7b…6e23backed Yes74c675.68$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes75c666.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc648…259cbacked No27c600$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4381442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3e2…1026backed Yes75c579.88$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.91520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid+53.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0774…99febacked Yes45c579.05$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No26c500$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37010539%41 W · 64 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8189…fa33backed Yes72c419.7$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.18616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.44per pick61cpaid-74%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10ae…b243backed Yes57c411.58$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes73c410.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027437.2%102 W · 172 L-1.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed Yes73c401.37$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cba…c616backed Yes76c400$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes75c400$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed No78c385.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.541283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf31…2931backed Yes75c370.37$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.781650%8 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No27c366.28$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.394959.2%29 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+40.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xafa3…71fdbacked Yes23c350$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes74c337.84$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504454.5%24 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes74c324.72$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2408453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9117…cecabacked Yes73c314.63$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.68812.5%1 W · 7 L-4.1wins-0.51per pick63cpaid-72.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No25c300$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22510332%33 W · 70 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes74c300$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2222250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa52e…e2c4backed No27c300$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2191457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No25c299.98$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.982931%9 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes44c297.06$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1303852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7ce…7fa9backed Yes73c273.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e92…f606backed Yes73c273.7$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.830%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Yes73c271.48$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.181952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60b2…c82fbacked Yes74c270.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa359…e803backed Yes18c222.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No24c218.49$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.059265.2%60 W · 32 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd48…b205backed Yes76c215.91$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.09450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd975…0a3ebacked Yes32c211.36$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.64633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Yes74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26b1…c3ddbacked Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+31.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x385b…03c9backed Yes17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3430%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4244…6221backed Yes50c192.68$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.730%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No29c192$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.327533.3%25 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x258d…cd31backed Yes28c180.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61cd…541ebacked No60c166.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.471163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf99d…f867backed Yes71c150$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.53855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcacc…9575backed Yes74c140.58$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-49.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0db…56d5backed Yes75c138.67$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x954b…eb22backed Yes73c137.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003060%18 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x235a…b3b8backed Yes74c136$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick74cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Yes74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23c3…bdf4backed Yes74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-46.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xded7…1ef1backed Yes75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ee7…12c5backed No27c125$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.251478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.1wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+81.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xad46…65a7backed Yes76c116.06$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.211172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3874…b8a6backed Yes73c109.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa987…52e0backed Yes74c108.11$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df8…5332backed Yes18c102.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes74c101.35$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes74c101.35$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d6…42a7backed Yes73c100.37$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748456%47 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.