Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2025-10-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1ebd3731d1cb15e0d9a2c78eba519d6573175f788d8d685c0652fdecb9735c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Yes | 9c | 11,494$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,459.15 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,099.98 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 9,577$7,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,564.7 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 8c | 6,666$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,132.3 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 36c | 5,882$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.42 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 5,117$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.97 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 52c | 3,272$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.65 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 40c | 3,061$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.48 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 10c | 3,050$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,745 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 36c | 2,113$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.58 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 41c | 2,090$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.08 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed No | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 10c | 1,167$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.17 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a8…81f5backed Yes | 61c | 1,148$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…5696backed No | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…e133backed Yes | 78c | 916.06$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 60c | 829.17$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.17 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 72cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed Yes | 61c | 700.19$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.81 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked No | 62c | 483.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 10c | 458.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.66 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 40c | 453.97$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.97 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Yes | 49c | 363.1$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 50c | 337.37$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.37 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 49c | 277.42$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.66 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes | 79c | 254.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Yes | 70c | 232.14$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…c5c8backed No | 47c | 231.91$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb78…cff7backed Yes | 61c | 227.2$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 46c | 211.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…0a3ebacked No | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…9d19backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 42c | 185$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…aa71backed No | 48c | 167$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed No | 44c | 147.62$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 53c | 140.48$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.48 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded7…1ef1backed Yes | 61c | 133$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 53c | 132.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.38 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb8…3667backed Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +290.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46b8…5299backed No | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked No | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed No | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85db…0d12backed Yes | 52c | 73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed No | 55c | 51.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…5081backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1c…dd56backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…9373backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac5…28d4backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…e921backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2025-10-23?this page
- Will AS Roma vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň end in a draw?No won
- Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.