TailMyPicks
Market

Premier League · resolved market

Burnley FC vs. Chelsea: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,510
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,854

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,510 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfaed…2d14backed Under46c23,951$11,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,933.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc641…af4dbacked Over54c23,720$12,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,808.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x986d…2eb0backed Over54c23,511$12,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,695.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11d2…4fd1backed Under46c23,275$10,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,568.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c10,983$5,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,874.026,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under43c10,577$4,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,029.0221853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Over54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,40011029.1%32 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under46c9,998$4,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,398.727750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Over57c8,023$4,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,573.266435.9%23 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6a3…4ebebacked Over52c5,269$2,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,754.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x753b…3d0fbacked Over54c4,611$2,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,490.2560%0 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x00e1…4976backed Under46c4,606$2,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,487.463100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+92.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over52c2,761$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.473441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under44c1,759$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.4337036.2%134 W · 236 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over56c1,600$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9009242.4%39 W · 53 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over3c1,294$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.567737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under45c1,153$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.311,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf763…414fbacked Over58c1,113$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.251241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Under47c999.93$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.9640046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Over50c996.98$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004050%20 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08dd…55b0backed Over55c952.66$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.18450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over55c913.52$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ef…cecebacked Over55c906.88$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Over56c887.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009549.5%47 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over56c847.27$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.4740640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under46c817.12$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.581,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Under43c799.99$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.994042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under47c794.93$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.551,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under42c704.26$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.4724566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over57c700$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39912639.7%50 W · 76 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over55c600$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3305625%14 W · 42 L-9.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-50.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009244.6%41 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under43c500.32$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.1921839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Under43c499.98$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.998740.2%35 W · 52 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c478.87$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.662,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe02f…c990backed Over58c434.1$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3c1…3ac2backed Under49c387.76$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.76742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Over48c369.64$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1765646.4%26 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under44c357.07$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.3849254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under45c320.24$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.611,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Under47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.1510343.7%45 W · 58 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over56c314.25$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.9814252.8%75 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over57c307.79$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.4419826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1416642.4%28 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Under43c296.39$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.945345.3%24 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under45c264.43$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.5520150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6b1…c973backed Over60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-57.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4948…08bdbacked Over56c230.36$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1292339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Under69c212.67$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.936262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under44c201$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.429259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x981f…cf4fbacked Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1307…4be7backed Under47c198$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over57c176.96$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.874656.5%26 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over57c175.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.238030%24 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb7f…824bbacked Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+25.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc15d…6a7cbacked Over57c169.25$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.472347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd0…07a9backed Under62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7e6…7e65backed Over49c153.96$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+138.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa626…4300backed Over57c152.68$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.03742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1166…a8e1backed Under45c150$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.59736.1%35 W · 62 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd5f…7e6abacked Over53c135$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under52c129.45$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8257744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Under64c117.71$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9428246.1%130 W · 152 L-12.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7eee…d930backed Over48c113.62$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.072055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Over55c112.79$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.496269.4%43 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over55c109.62$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2949544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Over57c105.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013149.6%65 W · 66 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb47f…d792backed Over57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over51c96$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5420239.6%80 W · 122 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfac0…3086backed Over56c91.72$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.92862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over56c89.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010252.9%54 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6328…1bf3backed Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018059.4%107 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7541…09d1backed Over55c89.09$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa198…9601backed Over57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over57c85$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4539561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b52…e79dbacked Over59c84.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c40…0c8fbacked Over49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404528.9%13 W · 32 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-35.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x23fb…70b1backed Under45c75.56$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.56128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-81.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under48c69.47$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2825949.4%128 W · 131 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b8…5cf9backed Over56c69.05$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.671566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a91…450abacked Over57c63.88$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33ea…dcf4backed Under47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.83666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed Over55c63.64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d4…f320backed Under73c62.73$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.94875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Under33c58.07$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.91287.1%2 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.24per pick31cpaid-73.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under50c54.06$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.158230.5%25 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f8…1afcbacked Over41c48.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x205b…3618backed Under53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.17540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under46c43.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4712050%60 W · 60 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a49…f879backed Over50c40.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201275%9 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0338…4f11backed Under45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223363.6%21 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x897b…151ebacked Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x727c…c1f5backed Over52c38.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ece…50f0backed Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.