Fifa International · resolved market
Will Germany win on 2025-09-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x887e1f7c688d0f804d4c7d1211ed97378816cdd6ffa1742d3191350cb63eff7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 33c | 7,304$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 71c | 6,817$4,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,816.49 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 30c | 6,796$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,757.09 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 68c | 6,168$4,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.96 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 45c | 5,618$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,098.53 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 30c | 4,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.85 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 76c | 3,733$2,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.14 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 65c | 2,636$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.68 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 29c | 2,549$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 3c | 2,430$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.35 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +13.7wins | +0.27per pick | 22cpaid | +416.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 33c | 2,050$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.5 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 1,841$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.92 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 32c | 1,516$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.88 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 41c | 1,511$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 69c | 1,470$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 71c | 1,407$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.7 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 70c | 1,111$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.29 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 29c | 999.95$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.97 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 31c | 999.95$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.96 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked No | 30c | 999.58$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.1 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 31c | 843.39$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.92 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 69c | 799.99$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed Yes | 52c | 774.05$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 15c | 746.8$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.66 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39ea…f75bbacked Yes | 70c | 712.12$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 30c | 711.69$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.6 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 29c | 694.14$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.77 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 18c | 669.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed No | 68c | 653.62$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.62 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3545…741dbacked Yes | 31c | 653.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 30c | 649.98$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.99 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 30c | 600$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 30c | 600$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.51 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…290ebacked Yes | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f6…c600backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 31c | 499.97$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.98 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 69c | 497.57$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.32 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 65c | 428.08$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.28 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f1…c78bbacked Yes | 70c | 420.96$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 50c | 399.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -6.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…77c9backed Yes | 69c | 360.28$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 71c | 334.93$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…5a9ebacked Yes | 70c | 310.36$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9c…e860backed Yes | 72c | 304.28$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…c149backed Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…7e3bbacked Yes | 71c | 264.05$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa787…67e2backed Yes | 9c | 230$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa7…04bfbacked Yes | 69c | 200.33$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1d48backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +69%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa317…a3f3backed Yes | 70c | 177.03$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9d…2317backed Yes | 69c | 157.81$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…a2b4backed Yes | 69c | 145.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…8c6bbacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00dd…edcebacked Yes | 9c | 140$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Yes | 72c | 139.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 31c | 127.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 71c | 112.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 67c | 103.89$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 263 | 54.8%144 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 57c | 103.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 69c | 103.09$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.13 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes | 33c | 100.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 4cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…3f0abacked Yes | 69c | 93.36$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Yes | 70c | 92.27$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…b04abacked Yes | 30c | 89.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed No | 65c | 85.43$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked No | 60c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7902…43f8backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 68c | 75.68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Yes | 64c | 74.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c3…bdf4backed Yes | 70c | 72.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…cf89backed Yes | 71c | 66.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 30c | 66.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 30c | 64.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d8…e711backed Yes | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Yes | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8a…a2f2backed Yes | 52c | 57.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc4…a6a9backed Yes | 70c | 56.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…4955backed Yes | 69c | 53.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked No | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 32c | 49.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Germany win on 2025-09-04?this page
- Will Slovakia vs. Germany end in a draw?No won
- Will Slovakia win on 2025-09-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.