Fifa International · resolved market
Will Slovakia win on 2025-09-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9419ada52ad9f227bda836fb9968dd53ccb0367409fc4edbcd49f7bf95ea116
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 13c | 3,466$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,015.39 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.98 | 123 | 10.6%13 W · 110 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked No | 12c | 1,819$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.63 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 14c | 1,724$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.64 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 1,342$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.08 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 1,336$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.25 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 45c | 1,091$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.78 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 10c | 766.03$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.43 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 12c | 600$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.07 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 19c | 499.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed Yes | 12c | 425$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 13c | 408.85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.7 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 50c | 400$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.88 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…7d32backed No | 60c | 348.33$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 12c | 299.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.44 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 48c | 295.04$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.76 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed No | 58c | 275$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Yes | 17c | 234.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.07 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed No | 22c | 179.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 11c | 174$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 59c | 126.41$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.58 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 50c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 68c | 87.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa967…a71dbacked Yes | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Yes | 26c | 77.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.18 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked No | 41c | 49.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b1…191abacked No | 59c | 37.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…d915backed No | 58c | 28.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Slovakia win on 2025-09-04?this page
- Will Germany win on 2025-09-04?No won
- Will Slovakia vs. Germany end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.