NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Knicks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8f5c8de07a2e65b30a0e2bdbf99c491ed9d4aaedf5df2e891ded925ac43077f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $508,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $555,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $508,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 828 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Knicks | 0c | 68,916$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.77 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Knicks | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Knicks | 39c | 22,397$8,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,784.63 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Thunder | 61c | 18,000$10,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,019.97 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Knicks | 39c | 15,846$6,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,223.05 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Knicks | 43c | 12,639$5,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,385.06 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Knicks | 0c | 12,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Knicks | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Thunder | 64c | 9,014$5,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,234.76 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b703backed Knicks | 1c | 8,650$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Knicks | 41c | 7,826$3,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,208.49 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Knicks | 39c | 7,777$3,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,033.03 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Thunder | 60c | 7,567$4,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050.47 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Knicks | 15c | 7,171$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.2 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Thunder | 60c | 5,826$3,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,338.54 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Thunder | 60c | 5,586$3,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.79 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Knicks | 37c | 5,412$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.74 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…c5b2backed Knicks | 2c | 5,388$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.76 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb8…e817backed Thunder | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.93 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Knicks | 37c | 4,992$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.34 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…5715backed Thunder | 63c | 4,985$3,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.53 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Knicks | 15c | 4,300$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Knicks | 7c | 4,107$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.47 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Knicks | 2c | 4,000$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…5bfcbacked Thunder | 77c | 3,896$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.15 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292d…2c8dbacked Thunder | 62c | 3,753$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.86 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Knicks | 38c | 3,200$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.87 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Thunder | 59c | 2,945$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.28 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8de…e12abacked Knicks | 36c | 2,910$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…11d0backed Knicks | 40c | 2,900$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1026…0b0ebacked Knicks | 37c | 2,790$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Thunder | 61c | 2,366$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.32 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Knicks | 1c | 2,351$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Knicks | 11c | 2,296$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.01 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf884…7a73backed Knicks | 37c | 2,200$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Knicks | 1c | 2,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…4ae4backed Thunder | 79c | 1,756$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.5 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 78c | 1,610$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.33 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Knicks | 17c | 1,532$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.39 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1b…cc3abacked Thunder | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b02…e4e8backed Knicks | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.98 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Knicks | 40c | 1,428$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.9 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Knicks | 39c | 1,400$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.29 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Thunder | 60c | 1,383$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.19 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Thunder | 57c | 1,300$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Knicks | 24c | 1,248$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.11 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Thunder | 61c | 1,181$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.76 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e0…3eabbacked Thunder | 61c | 1,161$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96fb…b2a3backed Knicks | 38c | 1,153$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.14 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Knicks | 43c | 1,130$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.83 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Knicks | 40c | 1,082$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.8 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Knicks | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Knicks | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Knicks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Thunder | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Thunder | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Thunder | 77c | 982.9$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.07 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Knicks | 41c | 970.43$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.29 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…113dbacked Thunder | 62c | 900$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.2 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Thunder | 76c | 900$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Thunder | 60c | 892.35$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.94 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Knicks | 26c | 885.05$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.92 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Knicks | 33c | 876.06$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.37 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Thunder | 61c | 819.56$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.63 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f13…99b7backed Knicks | 40c | 800$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc299…7393backed Thunder | 64c | 800$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…fbe9backed Knicks | 36c | 800$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Knicks | 42c | 741.99$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.22 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Knicks | 39c | 725.06$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.77 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Knicks | 38c | 700$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1552…3379backed Thunder | 61c | 700$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf81e…ab79backed Knicks | 36c | 686.94$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Knicks | 41c | 678$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.74 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Thunder | 61c | 653.59$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.53 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b1…9380backed Thunder | 63c | 632.44$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Knicks | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Knicks | 39c | 615.95$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.48 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Knicks | 39c | 615.93$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.47 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…3027backed Thunder | 61c | 584.7$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.03 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 60c | 580.28$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.91 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Knicks | 39c | 552.98$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.62 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Thunder | 68c | 547.14$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.09 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked Knicks | 29c | 539.8$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.35 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Knicks | 38c | 530$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…5ddebacked Knicks | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Thunder | 61c | 501.64$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.64 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Thunder | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Thunder | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Thunder | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b1…8e10backed Thunder | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…63bfbacked Thunder | 60c | 499.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.97 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Thunder | 77c | 487.23$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.18 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked Thunder | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…9bb9backed Knicks | 27c | 460$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Thunder | 70c | 453.34$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.35 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf19…976bbacked Thunder | 61c | 437.7$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.7 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf21b…894ebacked Knicks | 48c | 420.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…2c58backed Knicks | 40c | 410$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Thunder | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…d8b0backed Thunder | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.