Bundesliga · resolved market
FC Augsburg vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x156d33e98015687228948f28a947d07fc49a4c5deceb52fa3b6843d78e542821
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $375,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $389,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $375,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 54c | 295,542$159,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159,365.21 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Over | 46c | 100,000$46,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,000 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 79,834$36,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,510.41 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Over | 47c | 24,444$11,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,077.54 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 22,206$10,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,956.23 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 11,630$5,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,236.34 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 47c | 8,828$4,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,678.85 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,383.11 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Over | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Over | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 4,805$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.88 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked Over | 48c | 4,200$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed Under | 52c | 3,694$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked Under | 1c | 3,139$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 48c | 2,140$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.8 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 3c | 2,038$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.15 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +6.5wins | +0.27per pick | 10cpaid | +187.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 46c | 2,000$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.92 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 47c | 1,833$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.55 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Over | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Over | 39c | 1,500$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 47c | 1,256$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.15 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 46c | 1,146$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.84 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…6660backed Under | 1c | 1,118$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Over | 47c | 1,025$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 52c | 1,002$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.23 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 20c | 999.99$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.65 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +166.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Under | 59c | 955.82$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.69 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 20c | 935.09$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.19 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +13.8wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 48c | 817.78$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.25 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Over | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 74c | 690$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.4 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 67c | 617.2$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.04 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 49c | 561.22$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.22 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 48c | 540$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.8 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Over | 49c | 530$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.3 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.06 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Over | 47c | 500$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Over | 46c | 494.3$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 49c | 430.41$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.62 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 47c | 420$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.6 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 47c | 420$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.6 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 47c | 420$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.6 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 45c | 389$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.95 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 48c | 358$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Under | 55c | 357.83$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.64 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf6…773bbacked Over | 17c | 352.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.94 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 47c | 330$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.9 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 47c | 330$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.9 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 47c | 314$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.42 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…f258backed Over | 49c | 296.73$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Over | 19c | 250$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.5 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba77…da86backed Over | 49c | 245.93$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.48 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc36…180fbacked Over | 49c | 244.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 45c | 233.33$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.33 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 47c | 228.4$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.05 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 47c | 220$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 46c | 215.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.93 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10bc…76bebacked Over | 36c | 211.49$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 78c | 208$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.24 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 59c | 204.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.99 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed Over | 47c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 30c | 196.9$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.49 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…eb0cbacked Over | 48c | 194.86$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 47c | 190$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 47c | 180$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 47c | 180$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 47c | 170$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 47c | 170$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 47c | 170$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 47c | 170$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 47c | 170$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 47c | 170$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 47c | 170$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Over | 49c | 167.16$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.04 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 48c | 154$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 54c | 153.7$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…511fbacked Over | 49c | 151.2$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.11 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Augsburg vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Augsburg vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Augsburg vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Augsburg vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Augsburg vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.