Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17b8252cb522dbaa9ebcb2b1df02a7a7bbb7b3dfba7579e6ed282feb96a64157
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 47c | 23,240$10,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,387 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 46c | 9,986$4,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,431.88 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 46c | 6,736$3,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,629.97 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 6,125$3,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.34 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 53c | 6,090$3,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,217.75 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 56c | 5,379$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc16d…39a2backed Yes | 56c | 4,487$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 54c | 3,645$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.97 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2053…1eedbacked Yes | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Yes | 49c | 3,293$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 54c | 2,598$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.27 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 57c | 2,405$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.31 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 48c | 2,088$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.37 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 2,037$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.16 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…99edbacked Yes | 39c | 1,613$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 46c | 1,602$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.33 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 36c | 1,420$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.45 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 53c | 1,351$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.16 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 58c | 1,288$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.72 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…efa4backed Yes | 39c | 1,272$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 53cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 58c | 1,245$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.63 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Yes | 55c | 1,224$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.18 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 51c | 1,187$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0d…dea7backed Yes | 43c | 1,124$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a48…498cbacked Yes | 54c | 1,116$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 53c | 1,085$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.19 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 33c | 1,000$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.01 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 34c | 934.36$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.15 | 135 | 28.9%39 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…106bbacked Yes | 53c | 865.53$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 54c | 830.48$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.15 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 59c | 815.77$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.43 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 45c | 781.27$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 55c | 680.24$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.64 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 666.22$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.97 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 53c | 564.21$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 48c | 519.11$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 47c | 471.95$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.83 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 53c | 471.51$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 54c | 470$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.8 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked No | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 48c | 413$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.76 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 70c | 405.2$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Yes | 52c | 392.38$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +85%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2246…e958backed Yes | 5c | 392$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 47c | 383.96$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.1 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 36c | 330.56$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c9…a149backed Yes | 47c | 324.8$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes | 54c | 322.72$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…d830backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 47c | 265.33$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.27 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 42c | 262.72$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.34 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…30e8backed Yes | 39c | 242.89$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ca23backed Yes | 54c | 222.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed No | 47c | 220$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed No | 45c | 218$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.01 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…8206backed Yes | 53c | 199.25$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 55c | 197.25$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…dc8cbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1653…24b0backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2830…2676backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 54c | 185.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…cd27backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 52c | 173.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 58c | 159.05$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.16 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…9ac3backed Yes | 41c | 149.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…5ff4backed Yes | 54c | 144.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 55c | 136$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 44c | 135$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Yes | 20c | 134.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…16d6backed Yes | 34c | 130.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 46c | 130$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed Yes | 35c | 126.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 46c | 118.14$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.79 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 44c | 115$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 44c | 112$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.72 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed No | 62c | 110.25$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Yes | 39c | 105.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…f4c5backed Yes | 39c | 102.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 54c | 100.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?Yes won
- Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-03-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.