Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bdefa891c3e6197ed8510617de3904d25dc30ce673d5d9a71995fc5232debea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc01b…7718backed Yes | 67c | 8,635$5,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed No | 21c | 4,800$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.72 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 62c | 4,331$2,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.81 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 26c | 3,881$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,883.89 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 75c | 3,209$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.86 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…dedebacked Yes | 24c | 3,179$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 2,678$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.48 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 71c | 2,515$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.84 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 76c | 2,500$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.99 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 2,427$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.47 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…6964backed Yes | 24c | 1,983$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 45c | 1,444$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.82 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 1,306$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.39 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0d…dea7backed Yes | 34c | 1,029$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 76c | 1,008$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.08 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 4c | 991.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 77c | 672.07$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.27 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked No | 43c | 590$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.15 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 77c | 526$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.02 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 27c | 500$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 23c | 429.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.17 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 76c | 387.32$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.36 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…1d60backed No | 39c | 300$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 36c | 270.37$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.97 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 31c | 209.68$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.68 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 76c | 197.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.42 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 62c | 158.89$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.95 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed No | 32c | 156.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Yes | 51c | 132.55$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 38c | 132.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.76 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…dacebacked No | 16c | 116.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +235.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 115.47$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.19 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 43c | 110$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1525…2815backed No | 22c | 94.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 43c | 84.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 81$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 34c | 80.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 66c | 77.41$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bf…5004backed Yes | 32c | 74.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 40c | 69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 32c | 65.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 24c | 64.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.08 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 29c | 61.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked No | 65c | 58.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 62 | 82.3%51 W · 11 L | +11.4wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 72c | 55.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +33%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes | 48c | 39.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 77c | 37.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3233backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked No | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 77c | 24.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…22f3backed Yes | 74c | 18.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?this page
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-01?No won
- Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-03-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.