TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. 76ers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wizardsof Wizards, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$385,079
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$423,149

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $385,079 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 826 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfba6…375cbacked Wizards77c27,109$20,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,296.7129957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed 76ers21c18,497$3,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,842.0246426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0734…e1c6backed 76ers18c14,290$2,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,556.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked 76ers16c13,144$2,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,111.180146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7239…6591backed 76ers60c11,038$6,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,663.843636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked 76ers30c10,000$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,95030826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked 76ers28c8,061$2,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,257.1729738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Wizards57c7,716$4,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,298.1188053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Wizards42c7,593$3,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,403.8947848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers11c7,042$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.773,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed 76ers8c6,022$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.741,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Wizards40c5,954$2,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,559.1828241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Wizards41c5,464$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,223.8823135.1%81 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Wizards40c5,444$2,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,246.896447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Wizards42c5,117$2,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,958.521,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked 76ers0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Wizards41c5,000$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9507447.3%35 W · 39 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Wizards76c5,000$3,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.629858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked 76ers59c4,561$2,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,691.0525865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Wizards41c4,394$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,589.3677745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed 76ers58c3,678$2,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,132.9620238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed 76ers60c3,333$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010533.3%35 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed 76ers59c3,321$1,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.3972241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked 76ers61c3,287$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010541%43 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…d4f3backed 76ers59c3,212$1,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,895.16650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x521b…db60backed Wizards42c3,200$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,870.921330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed 76ers58c3,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.9540627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed 76ers12c2,571$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.7419535.4%69 W · 126 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Wizards42c2,528$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.342748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Wizards42c2,409$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.4666853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Wizards42c2,400$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,39236057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed 76ers58c2,328$1,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.11,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed 76ers9c2,272$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20126124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Wizards54c2,215$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.848046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wizards54c2,071$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.615,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb31…cd36backed 76ers59c2,004$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.361080%8 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+37.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked 76ers40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80053134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb8…74b8backed Wizards41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-45.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6627…5669backed 76ers6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3169…f6d4backed 76ers59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.95837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…602cbacked Wizards79c1,751$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.721323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53f4…8c52backed 76ers60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010540%42 W · 63 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b6b…12e7backed 76ers30c1,642$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003548.6%17 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+65.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed 76ers1c1,525$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.561,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked 76ers7c1,500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed 76ers60c1,500$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.828341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed 76ers31c1,500$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.529747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Wizards79c1,491$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.9633931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Wizards39c1,480$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.810428.8%30 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42e0…0578backed 76ers58c1,397$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.3820553.7%110 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked 76ers60c1,333$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80012759.8%76 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2b8…5ce5backed Wizards72c1,300$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.073961.5%24 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed 76ers11c1,276$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.7836423.4%85 W · 279 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Wizards40c1,230$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.7345743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Wizards40c1,225$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.6437627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde44…2adcbacked Wizards42c1,190$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.481258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Wizards42c1,190$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.237734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed 76ers36c1,083$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.8326431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed 76ers2c1,080$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.37502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked 76ers58c1,025$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.618354.1%99 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed 76ers59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed 76ers59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5901,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Wizards52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48051037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Wizards40c998.53$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.7973051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Wizards40c878.47$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.0820047%94 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d80…219abacked Wizards41c877.28$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.287851.3%40 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Wizards42c832$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.566435.9%23 W · 41 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Wizards42c754$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.3257760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Wizards41c723.81$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.8126640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Wizards40c684.98$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.9920153.7%108 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0712…f71bbacked 76ers60c666.67$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Wizards41c639.48$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.346131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe295…6637backed 76ers58c628.97$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Wizards39c616$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.761,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed 76ers58c598.28$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34716563.6%105 W · 60 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Wizards55c570$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.71,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Wizards41c550$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.556348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Wizards41c547.02$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.932,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed 76ers59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30029643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed 76ers29c508.45$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4523248.7%113 W · 119 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed 76ers60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024855.6%138 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b92…046ebacked 76ers20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016140.4%65 W · 96 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed 76ers52c500$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26230641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Wizards68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16063555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa33…8dbcbacked 76ers46c488.32$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.129450.3%148 W · 146 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe297…314abacked 76ers60c416.67$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Wizards41c409.18$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.9385542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked 76ers59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23668642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Wizards76c397.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2319944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Wizards42c382.02$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.3873647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b38…6c64backed 76ers59c360.27$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.56366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked 76ers32c350$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11237831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec3…1e2bbacked Wizards42c339.23$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.23250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed 76ers60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013959%82 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked 76ers60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012659.5%75 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Wizards41c325.42$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19261345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0db4…cc65backed 76ers58c300.69$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed 76ers58c299.97$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9836434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Wizards40c299.97$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.9830351.8%157 W · 146 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Wizards41c299.92$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.9561835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.