TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Ethan Quinn

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Khachanovof Khachanov, Quinn
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$359,986
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$495,271

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $359,986 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7606…2836backed Khachanov71c123,420$87,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,1207857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Quinn30c49,844$14,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,718.41,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Quinn29c45,317$13,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,142.4210845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Quinn32c40,012$12,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,833.915064%32 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked Quinn29c13,615$3,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,948.322119%4 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-58.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd737…d351backed Quinn0c6,485$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.35666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Quinn12c5,427$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d2…2280backed Khachanov71c5,352$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.14862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed Khachanov67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9902147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Quinn31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.996141%25 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Quinn20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50066949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5916…8d4fbacked Khachanov67c2,500$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8255862.1%36 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Khachanov66c2,236$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.351942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+119%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Khachanov66c1,718$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.187342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Quinn30c1,700$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51057645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Khachanov71c1,633$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.12733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Khachanov68c1,566$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.4159151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Khachanov68c1,564$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.5211343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Quinn15c1,555$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.458,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed32…20d6backed Khachanov71c1,500$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4351258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Khachanov66c1,451$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.1515832.3%51 W · 107 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa225…b903backed Khachanov71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.451650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Quinn34c1,400$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.9944125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Quinn30c1,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014546.2%67 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Khachanov80c1,254$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.6814663%92 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8886…3913backed Quinn30c1,110$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3333228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bb4…acb6backed Khachanov68c1,082$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.317356.2%41 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x286c…caffbacked Khachanov70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001675%12 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7355…9443backed Quinn33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3302147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Khachanov80c988.15$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.8765242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Quinn32c938.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.4847639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dcd…1722backed Quinn31c919.95$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.186126.2%16 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Quinn31c867.9$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.05850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa253…7630backed Quinn32c781$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.925632.1%18 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Quinn30c733$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.5613935.3%49 W · 90 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Khachanov69c722.6$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.69452.1%49 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Quinn30c674.92$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.991,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Quinn32c630$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.611843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe9d…5eb1backed Quinn33c622.48$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.194955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Khachanov70c571.43$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.432147.6%10 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick65cpaid-31.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb8e…3023backed Khachanov71c563.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c17…de2bbacked Khachanov71c450.42$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.427957%45 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa05b…a94fbacked Khachanov71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbaa…59b8backed Khachanov66c378.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7532448.1%156 W · 168 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2022…04b8backed Khachanov78c368.66$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.672576%19 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked Khachanov70c364.6$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.389257.6%53 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Quinn30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010036%36 W · 64 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Khachanov66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0365651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x778c…f3afbacked Khachanov68c300$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Khachanov71c265.56$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.012450%12 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…e7b3backed Khachanov68c247.06$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.063551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Quinn14c226.79$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0375547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Khachanov68c207.82$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.514345.5%65 W · 78 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Khachanov71c200.04$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.013865.8%25 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Khachanov66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6822737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d6…ebefbacked Quinn32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e0b…cd84backed Khachanov67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0480…0a91backed Khachanov66c198.85$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.616944.9%31 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Quinn25c179$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456734.3%23 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed Khachanov67c178.2$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.811850%9 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Quinn17c168.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6716644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Quinn30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50100%0 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cdf…edf9backed Khachanov74c156.77$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.943458.8%20 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick70cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Quinn33c152$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1624529.8%73 W · 172 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Quinn34c151.26$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.436145.9%28 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e64…7308backed Khachanov67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.255343.4%23 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Khachanov67c148.53$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.533066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Khachanov69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9343158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41cc…26eabacked Khachanov70c140$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4210251%52 W · 50 L+8.9wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e72…b2febacked Khachanov74c135.55$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.915360.4%32 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed Khachanov67c131.34$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.34366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Khachanov80c130$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265362.3%33 W · 20 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Khachanov66c120$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.81,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x151f…807dbacked Quinn31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Quinn24c92.74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2244423.9%106 W · 338 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Quinn31c81.72$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.711,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3823…2784backed Khachanov70c81.23$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0632161.7%198 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Quinn31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2538356.9%218 W · 165 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0bf…e4a1backed Quinn31c76.16$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.614443.2%19 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x270c…f377backed Quinn31c72.36$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.432254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5056…e270backed Khachanov71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.425761.4%35 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Khachanov78c69.3$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0770465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Quinn30c66.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.11,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x875c…d3e8backed Quinn33c61.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.310250%51 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Khachanov68c58.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8246556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x064a…9c2fbacked Khachanov71c57.04$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.547664.5%49 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Quinn34c55.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1988446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31cf…1398backed Khachanov72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.56666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9714…3014backed Khachanov70c54.13$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.242969%20 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Khachanov70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-40%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x686a…7deabacked Quinn30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15128.3%1 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.35per pick44cpaid-87.2%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x5b2b…d4d3backed Khachanov71c45.07$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.073842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Khachanov69c38.87$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8718447.3%87 W · 97 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf24…0039backed Khachanov71c37.46$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.863063.3%19 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf9a…2357backed Khachanov67c37.22$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.28887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick67cpaid+30.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a29…c0b6backed Khachanov71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.213675%27 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc256…aba2backed Khachanov67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.856759.7%40 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14c5…bbe9backed Khachanov69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee4a…b98abacked Khachanov71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.17366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Khachanov71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.172,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.