Serie A · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5c8fc4fd0e3961f1c7d0ba499d03cc4eca26be350dca61966e04bcfb2d686d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 17c | 10,784$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.47 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 31c | 1,812$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.58 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 16c | 621.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 74c | 520.27$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.27 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 77c | 507.01$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.01 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 20c | 399.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f82…0ffebacked Over | 70c | 235.71$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f5…eb92backed Under | 30c | 206.67$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Over | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc36…180fbacked Over | 80c | 125.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 19c | 123.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…ddbcbacked Over | 80c | 112$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8f…9f44backed Over | 70c | 98.57$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…357dbacked Over | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 20c | 71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 30c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…bc6fbacked Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 69c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7805…ead7backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Over | 65c | 47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Under | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3f…e8a6backed Over | 75c | 36.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Over | 70c | 27.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 80c | 21.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Over | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Over | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 48cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Over | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Over | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed Over | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -75%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.