Serie A · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x052d735850853f42ed89f834a7ae202ecf74e57401ca2e5c0e47414be9e5ed55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf0a…70a0backed No | 75c | 1,779$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.9 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 1,605$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.21 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 35c | 1,311$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.89 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 40c | 707.5$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.5 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 51c | 275.14$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.32 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 51c | 241.86$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.51 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da8…e9e2backed Yes | 50c | 168$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f5…eb92backed Yes | 46c | 129.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 44c | 106.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…298cbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 116 | 66.4%77 W · 39 L | +14.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Yes | 51c | 98.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x243b…5d22backed Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…51f7backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…4bf1backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e3…395cbacked Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked No | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0660…a61fbacked Yes | 41c | 37.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed No | 66c | 34.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…0ea4backed No | 64c | 31.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.2wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 51c | 20.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e7…6031backed No | 66c | 16.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.