TailMyPicks
Market

Serie A · resolved market

Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FC Internazionale Milanoof FC Internazionale Milano, Bologna FC 1909
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,724
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,834

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,724 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked FC Internazionale Milano53c18,248$9,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,500.531,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bologna FC 190947c14,421$6,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,752.742,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed FC Internazionale Milano44c6,046$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,385.8611848.3%57 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf0a…70a0backed Bologna FC 190958c5,699$3,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3042138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-48.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Bologna FC 190956c3,100$1,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,73645547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Bologna FC 190955c2,976$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6402240.9%9 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick62cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed FC Internazionale Milano43c1,398$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.3896942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Bologna FC 190958c870$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.65747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Bologna FC 190956c524.98$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.993961.5%24 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Bologna FC 190955c449.21$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.0637250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed FC Internazionale Milano46c326.09$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.094955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdcd4…c870backed FC Internazionale Milano45c260$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed FC Internazionale Milano44c226.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.616043.3%26 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed FC Internazionale Milano46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3913155%72 W · 59 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6b8…3539backed Bologna FC 190956c199.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.992326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-50.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Bologna FC 190929c144.97$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.936443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32df…cce8backed FC Internazionale Milano43c137.84$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed FC Internazionale Milano43c136.5$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.812339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Bologna FC 190956c129.83$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.716448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed FC Internazionale Milano44c124.9$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9822947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44bc…e775backed Bologna FC 190957c124.56$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6c0…8e1bbacked FC Internazionale Milano45c111.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa041…04d2backed FC Internazionale Milano46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.71764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.22per pick43cpaid+43.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x23c3…bdf4backed Bologna FC 190957c101.75$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582055%11 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Bologna FC 190956c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567948.1%38 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Bologna FC 190957c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ee4…8c98backed FC Internazionale Milano43c93.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.02666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked FC Internazionale Milano44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9110736.4%39 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed FC Internazionale Milano45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8919353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked FC Internazionale Milano56c88$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.723141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14f5…eb92backed FC Internazionale Milano56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.43650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Bologna FC 190957c70$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0814452.1%75 W · 69 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked FC Internazionale Milano45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6717538.9%68 W · 107 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa217…3385backed Bologna FC 190932c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b3…8528backed FC Internazionale Milano44c56.96$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.02728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked FC Internazionale Milano45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.562638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked FC Internazionale Milano45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5619436.1%70 W · 124 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x385e…77b9backed FC Internazionale Milano58c48.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.671450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed FC Internazionale Milano43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5112946.5%60 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed FC Internazionale Milano47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.554551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98be…51d9backed FC Internazionale Milano47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0660…a61fbacked Bologna FC 190955c40.71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed FC Internazionale Milano49c39.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.389754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Bologna FC 190957c39.83$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8320841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FC Internazionale Milano52c37.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1493252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c22…70a0backed FC Internazionale Milano44c33.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.741735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0375…0528backed FC Internazionale Milano46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.611181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.35per pick46cpaid+62.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc8e7…6031backed FC Internazionale Milano71c32.11$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.192123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick44cpaid-57.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa60c…b395backed Bologna FC 190957c28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.96650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked FC Internazionale Milano44c27.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.273154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked FC Internazionale Milano43c25.58$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.581450%7 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+31.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e48…c958backed Bologna FC 190957c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.681060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd568…655ebacked Bologna FC 190957c23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.11922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.37per pick59cpaid-56.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked FC Internazionale Milano56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.92356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38a6…bbd5backed Bologna FC 190957c19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.83825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-59.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf683…f2dfbacked Bologna FC 190957c18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.26837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.