TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Madrid win La Liga?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,039,822
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,110,384

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,039,822 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 13,710 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes50c230,465$115,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115,370.28119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-75.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ad1…5d7cbacked Yes13c214,540$27,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,327.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc441…92eabacked Yes50c179,574$89,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89,656.88450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4344…caefbacked Yes15c149,917$22,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,508.0230%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes42c80,937$33,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,973.965040%20 W · 30 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes2c74,202$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.212714.8%4 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-42.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes51c64,814$33,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,081.91540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes34c62,750$21,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,031.951957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x39a1…af66backed Yes37c62,444$23,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,320.431225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-45.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes41c53,690$22,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,101.87616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-69.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca74…3b40backed Yes47c42,677$19,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,998.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71ca…3501backed Yes52c41,345$21,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,582.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5372…d2f9backed Yes46c40,640$18,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,582.04333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes27c39,669$10,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,709.11185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-87.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49b6…170cbacked Yes39c36,975$14,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,467.041040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Yes56c21,237$11,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,952.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-50.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7754…9709backed Yes24c20,215$4,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,929.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2f5…d860backed No66c20,205$13,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,921.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc2e…2358backed Yes25c19,381$4,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,850.7130%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes42c19,240$8,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,108.229545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Yes48c19,138$9,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,240.08333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed Yes55c18,991$10,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,367.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-49.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes15c18,907$2,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,825.134528.9%13 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-33.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c18,231$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4690%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes40c17,000$6,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,875.57520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes38c15,539$5,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,974.59326.3%2 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-84%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8679…4659backed Yes1c13,176$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed Yes47c12,999$6,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,099.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes45c12,271$5,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,511.444936.7%18 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9977…3020backed Yes50c11,879$5,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,985.551338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd57e…95f3backed Yes17c11,439$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe729…7300backed Yes15c11,330$1,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9093…b928backed Yes50c10,013$5,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,006.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f36…6c86backed Yes50c10,007$5,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,003.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd246…1c41backed No50c10,007$5,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,003.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c21…86e5backed No50c10,003$5,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,001.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd0…bc3dbacked No48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a6…9343backed No54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,600250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e1e…1f0bbacked Yes29c9,688$2,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,810.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed Yes24c9,561$2,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,256.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x53d2…0c3fbacked Yes63c8,860$5,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,595.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2760…c5efbacked Yes14c7,816$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaba…76afbacked Yes0c7,628$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d42…4d58backed Yes0c7,628$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0d7…d88fbacked Yes0c7,628$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb71…8756backed Yes24c7,042$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes35c6,716$2,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,318.25143.1%22 W · 29 L+15.1wins+0.30per pick14cpaid+663.6%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xe566…4df2backed Yes37c6,500$2,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,410.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes47c6,201$2,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,914.74333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7666…d767backed Yes1c5,721$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d18…a6cfbacked Yes1c5,721$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a4d…09eabacked Yes0c5,721$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccfd…614ebacked Yes1c5,721$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…69d8backed Yes0c5,721$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f22…5de1backed Yes1c5,721$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bb5…d541backed Yes0c5,721$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc531…f2e6backed Yes1c5,721$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb450…eb49backed Yes0c5,721$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80db…d82bbacked Yes0c5,721$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98bc…04a7backed Yes0c5,721$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd090…9264backed Yes0c5,721$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf094…156cbacked Yes0c5,721$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b1…08f0backed Yes0c5,721$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Yes41c5,674$2,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,331.911225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-45.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes38c5,576$2,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,134.41825%2 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-47.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70d7…8e0dbacked Yes1c5,293$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.21333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick8cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3635…e4cfbacked Yes50c5,013$2,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,506.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fbc…52dabacked No50c5,005$2,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,502.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde97…e43ebacked Yes15c5,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-46.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes23c5,000$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56dc…f02bbacked Yes24c4,812$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.93425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f06…8cf5backed Yes9c4,724$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes2c4,392$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8360%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes44c4,360$1,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,913.49944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c4,179$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.49120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3869…2d67backed Yes29c4,127$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.091136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed Yes43c4,116$1,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,767.589250%46 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa93a…0f5cbacked No33c3,916$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,605.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick23cpaid+119%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c9d…c227backed Yes56c3,872$2,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,168.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a2d…521cbacked Yes30c3,822$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d27…a843backed Yes1c3,814$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcea3…e2b0backed Yes1c3,814$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e46…77b7backed Yes1c3,814$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…cb64backed Yes0c3,814$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf59b…81e9backed Yes1c3,814$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4cc…7183backed Yes0c3,814$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f3c…2d9cbacked Yes0c3,814$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x891c…93fbbacked Yes0c3,814$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e05…0d9cbacked Yes1c3,814$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5538…973ebacked Yes0c3,814$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x857d…2e06backed Yes1c3,814$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a22…be40backed Yes0c3,814$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96c3…e594backed Yes1c3,814$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd865…66dfbacked Yes1c3,814$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabcc…6633backed Yes0c3,814$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb229…601ebacked Yes0c3,814$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea81…f9acbacked Yes0c3,814$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47cc…5e47backed Yes1c3,814$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…a8c0backed Yes0c3,814$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.