Tennis · resolved market
Rio Open: Joao Fonseca vs Thiago Monteiro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bea234fa4fd3a4f637c0fc53d7de5d335f7ba753b2ebfdd5702f6cfe3c916fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fonsecaof Fonseca, Monteiro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Fonseca | 75c | 17,220$12,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,377.33 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Fonseca | 77c | 16,729$12,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.43 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Monteiro | 20c | 14,253$2,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,894.67 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Monteiro | 26c | 11,246$2,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,924.05 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Monteiro | 23c | 9,207$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.42 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…2c41backed Fonseca | 77c | 8,393$6,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Monteiro | 28c | 7,637$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.13 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Monteiro | 22c | 6,818$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.98 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Monteiro | 24c | 5,516$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.96 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Fonseca | 74c | 4,837$3,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.66 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | -27.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Fonseca | 72c | 4,488$3,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.74 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Monteiro | 26c | 3,197$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.31 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Fonseca | 74c | 2,840$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.14 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7e…339abacked Fonseca | 76c | 1,637$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Monteiro | 22c | 1,563$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.32 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce4…62fcbacked Monteiro | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Monteiro | 23c | 1,377$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.41 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Fonseca | 76c | 1,345$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.19 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1909…a2c9backed Fonseca | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Monteiro | 27c | 1,200$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Fonseca | 74c | 1,073$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.71 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Monteiro | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Fonseca | 74c | 774$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.21 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Monteiro | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Monteiro | 7c | 750$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 202 | 57.4%116 W · 86 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b42…ae63backed Monteiro | 28c | 699.29$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Fonseca | 71c | 681.24$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.88 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked Monteiro | 25c | 588.98$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +121.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Monteiro | 26c | 581.58$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.21 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4381…28f9backed Fonseca | 72c | 566.14$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Monteiro | 26c | 530$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.9 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Monteiro | 27c | 501.87$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.3 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Fonseca | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Fonseca | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Fonseca | 73c | 457.89$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.89 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Monteiro | 10c | 449.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked Fonseca | 74c | 418.92$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x890b…6afebacked Monteiro | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Fonseca | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Fonseca | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Monteiro | 22c | 374.7$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Fonseca | 75c | 352$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 307 | 50.5%155 W · 152 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd1…ec0ebacked Monteiro | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Monteiro | 7c | 289.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Fonseca | 74c | 283.81$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.81 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Fonseca | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Monteiro | 27c | 264$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Fonseca | 77c | 260.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…6fd3backed Monteiro | 7c | 260$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Fonseca | 78c | 254$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.41 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aec…69d9backed Monteiro | 25c | 250.68$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Monteiro | 27c | 249$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Fonseca | 77c | 222.71$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Fonseca | 75c | 210.3$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Fonseca | 74c | 202.69$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6b…e258backed Monteiro | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x038c…8aadbacked Fonseca | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Fonseca | 73c | 198.63$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.63 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…8a33backed Fonseca | 76c | 197.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ea…3df4backed Fonseca | 77c | 197.08$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Fonseca | 74c | 189.19$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…0123backed Fonseca | 76c | 187.14$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Monteiro | 27c | 174.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Fonseca | 73c | 170$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb1…5e96backed Monteiro | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Fonseca | 73c | 155.57$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Fonseca | 74c | 148.76$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Monteiro | 26c | 145$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Fonseca | 78c | 139.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Fonseca | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d7…7917backed Fonseca | 75c | 132.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7e…efe7backed Fonseca | 75c | 130.91$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Fonseca | 69c | 130$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Fonseca | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…2509backed Fonseca | 77c | 129.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Fonseca | 73c | 127.36$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Monteiro | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 333 | 26.4%88 W · 245 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e7…1f75backed Fonseca | 76c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 67cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe541…ae5fbacked Monteiro | 27c | 120$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Monteiro | 28c | 116.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Fonseca | 77c | 115.32$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 341 | 59.5%203 W · 138 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Monteiro | 24c | 113.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe032…ad82backed Fonseca | 74c | 108.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…06cbbacked Fonseca | 75c | 106.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Fonseca | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Fonseca | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e8…c9e1backed Fonseca | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Monteiro | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 287 | 24.4%70 W · 217 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Monteiro | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Monteiro | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 299 | 47.5%142 W · 157 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…03cbbacked Monteiro | 25c | 99.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2606…03a2backed Monteiro | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Monteiro | 26c | 90.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Monteiro | 12c | 84.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Fonseca | 73c | 82.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Fonseca | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Monteiro | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Fonseca | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6c…8fe6backed Monteiro | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1ca9backed Fonseca | 73c | 78.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rio Open: Joao Fonseca vs Thiago Monteirothis page
- Fonseca vs. Monteiro: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Fonseca vs. Monteiro: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Fonseca vs. Monteiro: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Fonseca vs. Monteiro: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Fonseca vs MonteiroFonseca won
- Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Monteiro (+1.5)Fonseca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.