TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof MOUZ, BetBoom Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,005
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$136,125

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,005 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdcfe…44b5backed BetBoom Team51c8,106$4,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,943.7832854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked MOUZ50c6,349$3,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,154.1455157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed BetBoom Team49c5,225$2,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,642.5610741.1%44 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed BetBoom Team41c5,122$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,022.354556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked BetBoom Team49c4,367$2,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,238.721,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x533e…47f4backed MOUZ51c3,957$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011359.3%67 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed BetBoom Team52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.0896557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5639…a907backed MOUZ66c3,649$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40040%0 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed BetBoom Team57c3,199$1,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.4834468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd56b…342dbacked BetBoom Team53c2,991$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.523850%19 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed MOUZ45c2,853$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.9777941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed MOUZ50c2,800$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40416142.9%69 W · 92 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ40c2,155$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.2566662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed MOUZ47c2,103$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.3126550.6%134 W · 131 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed BetBoom Team52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.9979959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfc6d…f406backed MOUZ52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00050%0 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcbd6…5f73backed BetBoom Team41c1,895$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.567143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb37a…1aa1backed BetBoom Team40c1,796$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.351637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed MOUZ65c1,699$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09941655.3%230 W · 186 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75b3…be68backed MOUZ71c1,657$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.13250%16 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe999…12bdbacked BetBoom Team38c1,445$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.5718156.4%102 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c29…21aabacked MOUZ48c1,388$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.348060%48 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed BetBoom Team47c1,369$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.8171454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed MOUZ27c1,221$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33010334%35 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a97…66f5backed BetBoom Team55c1,107$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.149959.6%59 W · 40 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked BetBoom Team50c986$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.988166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BetBoom Team43c858.06$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.762,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf2…a469backed MOUZ47c796.65$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.2213455.2%74 W · 60 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x772c…3539backed MOUZ57c754$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4335543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked BetBoom Team55c750.04$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.4253844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed BetBoom Team66c700$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.6345061.6%277 W · 173 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x563b…774bbacked MOUZ47c640.52$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004060%24 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6998…ae95backed MOUZ44c620.39$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.1916821.4%36 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked BetBoom Team40c597.91$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.1992056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked BetBoom Team45c586.17$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.8133845.6%154 W · 184 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed MOUZ50c570.95$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.5815452.6%81 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked BetBoom Team37c536.1$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.114538.6%56 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed MOUZ58c518.2$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.381,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed MOUZ46c499.96$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.9853652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c52…e75fbacked MOUZ35c450$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15813732.8%45 W · 92 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ47c414.03$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.341,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53a5…fc83backed MOUZ57c399.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.995446.3%25 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed MOUZ51c390.07$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20064149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked MOUZ67c390.01$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.17757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd7…f705backed MOUZ64c334.95$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed MOUZ53c334.04$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.0457455.4%318 W · 256 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57ba…d369backed BetBoom Team32c309.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.0914648.6%71 W · 75 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a12…d212backed MOUZ66c303.05$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008957.3%51 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3260…85ddbacked MOUZ41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1236454.7%35 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+16.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed MOUZ50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15061548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fdd…d385backed MOUZ44c285$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.42864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+60.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0738…6392backed MOUZ68c277.01$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.621264.2%136 W · 76 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed MOUZ61c274.34$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.5525457.9%147 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed MOUZ46c274.11$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.0931545.4%143 W · 172 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd15e…db59backed BetBoom Team41c250.08$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.9811845.8%54 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed MOUZ40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014661%89 W · 57 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed BetBoom Team45c243.21$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.931,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed BetBoom Team48c242$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.8415653.8%84 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed MOUZ65c233.24$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.615046%23 W · 27 L-7.7wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-30%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed BetBoom Team51c229.76$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5820156.7%114 W · 87 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked BetBoom Team54c224.07$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0773554.7%402 W · 333 L-3.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed MOUZ46c222$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8811043.6%48 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec61…4a2ebacked BetBoom Team32c200$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13610941.3%45 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked MOUZ65c200$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12918952.9%100 W · 89 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed MOUZ44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886647%31 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe64b…3499backed BetBoom Team51c199.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.715052%26 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a4…4249backed BetBoom Team75c192.79$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2319664.8%127 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f3e…50debacked BetBoom Team26c192.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.421735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbda6…6ae0backed BetBoom Team43c189.41$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.0136051.9%187 W · 173 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc00…fb0cbacked MOUZ42c182.92$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed MOUZ51c180$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.864744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd17d…d0eebacked BetBoom Team51c158.68$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3519246.4%89 W · 103 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7e0…0d8abacked MOUZ59c154.35$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4226958.7%158 W · 111 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77a0…4bfdbacked MOUZ66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x17ca…87d1backed MOUZ70c143.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019552.8%103 W · 92 L-15.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed BetBoom Team37c140$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.228244%124 W · 158 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed BetBoom Team54c138.04$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.044663%29 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf955…6614backed MOUZ47c130.59$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked MOUZ34c120$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4170236.6%257 W · 445 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f78…b642backed MOUZ40c110$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.85825.9%15 W · 43 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…03cbbacked BetBoom Team55c109.29$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.299137.4%34 W · 57 L-8.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed MOUZ46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5072154%389 W · 332 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ54c105.22$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2986949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7b0…6960backed MOUZ49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498055%44 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bfc…ce53backed MOUZ62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6211647.4%55 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1532…1dadbacked BetBoom Team53c99.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4722654.4%123 W · 103 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed BetBoom Team42c99.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9959250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked MOUZ67c96.44$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7552649.2%259 W · 267 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78db…4d37backed BetBoom Team54c93.09$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.096944.9%31 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc887…c181backed BetBoom Team22c91.27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.272948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed MOUZ47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4025248.8%123 W · 129 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac93…0cfcbacked MOUZ48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4058152.5%305 W · 276 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25c9…6b8bbacked MOUZ49c81.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010950.5%55 W · 54 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6c0…d689backed BetBoom Team39c76.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.921428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f1e…5a2abacked MOUZ48c76.77$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.963158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6741…e0f9backed MOUZ52c75.84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.41258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed MOUZ44c70$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3163032.5%205 W · 425 L+1.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed MOUZ61c70$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.91,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb15f…7deebacked MOUZ48c69.15$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.195552.7%29 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked BetBoom Team55c67.47$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3635370%247 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.