TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof MOUZ, BetBoom Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,722
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,161

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,722 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf9b5…09eebacked BetBoom Team51c18,179$9,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,944.7555157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed MOUZ4c16,663$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.3965625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed MOUZ49c9,744$4,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,732.0232854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbd6…5f73backed MOUZ58c6,029$3,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,521.557143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed MOUZ49c5,875$2,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,877.310741.1%44 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed MOUZ76c4,034$3,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,082.2396557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed MOUZ51c3,495$1,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,767.4533746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed BetBoom Team49c2,912$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.689440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed BetBoom Team51c2,839$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.8454556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked BetBoom Team24c2,500$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,894.4314515.2%22 W · 123 L-16.5wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-50.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed BetBoom Team22c2,295$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,780.238242.7%35 W · 47 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ44c2,122$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.62,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0738…6392backed MOUZ52c1,931$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00021264.2%136 W · 76 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75b3…be68backed BetBoom Team54c1,920$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.433250%16 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc6d…f406backed MOUZ53c1,529$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.4150%0 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked MOUZ50c1,484$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.2953844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c29…21aabacked BetBoom Team54c1,462$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.558060%48 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e3a…780cbacked BetBoom Team47c1,396$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.985839.7%23 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked BetBoom Team44c1,379$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.111,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked MOUZ50c1,370$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6858544.7%38 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55af…0715backed MOUZ76c1,316$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.43164.5%20 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked BetBoom Team33c1,303$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.7592056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x60f1…9562backed MOUZ80c1,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002060%12 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed MOUZ48c1,200$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57616142.9%69 W · 92 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf2…a469backed MOUZ48c1,012$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.6113455.2%74 W · 60 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed BetBoom Team50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50019147.6%91 W · 100 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa0…1160backed MOUZ49c999.99$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49014854.7%81 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed BetBoom Team50c911$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.556848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed BetBoom Team46c837.15$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.61,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05a7…f014backed MOUZ47c823.2$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x563b…774bbacked BetBoom Team52c750$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3604060%24 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed MOUZ80c700$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55959250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53a5…fc83backed BetBoom Team51c699.99$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.995446.3%25 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed BetBoom Team78c635.31$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.7780443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed MOUZ49c603.73$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.8357455.4%318 W · 256 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3260…85ddbacked MOUZ37c600$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.376454.7%35 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+16.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed BetBoom Team52c591.95$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.1431545.4%143 W · 172 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5454…ceadbacked BetBoom Team22c588.23$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.828543.5%37 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a12…d212backed BetBoom Team68c587.51$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.518957.3%51 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed BetBoom Team21c580.14$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.6433645.5%153 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked BetBoom Team43c568.09$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.8155251.6%285 W · 267 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a4…4249backed BetBoom Team69c521.54$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.3719664.8%127 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed MOUZ77c519.48$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40025457.9%147 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed MOUZ3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.756132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed MOUZ78c500$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.645061.6%277 W · 173 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed MOUZ62c487.48$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed MOUZ50c484.17$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.0953652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x703a…e12dbacked MOUZ46c430.26$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.92922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-54.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked BetBoom Team49c410$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.188166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed BetBoom Team52c385.77$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7764149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed MOUZ49c369.24$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.2380742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17ca…87d1backed MOUZ53c367.87$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19419552.8%103 W · 92 L-15.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed MOUZ40c351.08$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.4325248.8%123 W · 129 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed BetBoom Team47c338.84$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.8420156.7%114 W · 87 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ed3…fc81backed BetBoom Team50c290.98$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.49850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x772c…3539backed MOUZ49c277.73$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.095543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28f5…2035backed BetBoom Team67c240$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8033265.4%217 W · 115 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x77f2…eec6backed MOUZ12c238.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3855457.8%320 W · 234 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc5…d1a4backed BetBoom Team53c225.63$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.159045.6%41 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b4…6313backed MOUZ49c224.49$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11016160.2%97 W · 64 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4605…5299backed MOUZ47c213$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.118833%29 W · 59 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe64b…3499backed MOUZ28c200$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.055052%26 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57ba…d369backed BetBoom Team50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10014648.6%71 W · 75 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e3e…e3ebbacked MOUZ50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012061.7%74 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed MOUZ48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966647%31 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked MOUZ52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10418952.9%100 W · 89 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed MOUZ49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9848352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed MOUZ48c199.96$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9873743.6%321 W · 416 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbda6…6ae0backed BetBoom Team47c198.66$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3836051.9%187 W · 173 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6481…bb25backed BetBoom Team54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.19450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25c9…6b8bbacked MOUZ29c181.16$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210950.5%55 W · 54 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f78…b642backed BetBoom Team53c180$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.65825.9%15 W · 43 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed MOUZ49c168.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8110334%35 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac5d…d45fbacked BetBoom Team19c150$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1219535.8%34 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c0…23d8backed BetBoom Team74c148.4$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0923957.3%137 W · 102 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BetBoom Team41c139.01$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.872,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc209…7924backed BetBoom Team76c131.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7450757.4%291 W · 216 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed BetBoom Team26c130.98$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2457654.5%314 W · 262 L+29.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ41c129$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5286949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed BetBoom Team37c119.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.61,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ46c114.82$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6466662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BetBoom Team36c112.06$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.272,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f28…1edebacked BetBoom Team54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1110456.7%59 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1532…1dadbacked BetBoom Team18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1122654.4%123 W · 103 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed BetBoom Team52c107.69$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6972154%389 W · 332 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7b0…6960backed BetBoom Team50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508055%44 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed BetBoom Team26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7463032.5%205 W · 425 L+1.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed BetBoom Team52c99.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4853757.7%310 W · 227 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c0…d689backed MOUZ49c99.06$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.541428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c52…e75fbacked BetBoom Team17c99.01$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1813732.8%45 W · 92 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked BetBoom Team52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1520452.9%108 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x672d…dbd7backed MOUZ27c95.39$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2640047.5%190 W · 210 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b0…4758backed BetBoom Team52c89.19$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.73956.4%22 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed BetBoom Team44c84.74$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7361548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed MOUZ48c83.27$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4059556.6%337 W · 258 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed MOUZ48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.487645.7%400 W · 476 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7c7…24c2backed MOUZ49c79.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.813061.5%80 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bef…be32backed MOUZ48c79.17$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3813449.3%66 W · 68 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4287…3d5ebacked BetBoom Team31c71.37$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.968342.2%35 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked MOUZ49c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.370236.6%257 W · 445 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.