NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e94db1123bbceba8cce1dcdb0211cdfe9fe799654b1030a424d17c5da55c77f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $438,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $491,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $438,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 887 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1c9…96d9backed Hornets | 36c | 64,746$23,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,227.95 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Magic | 71c | 16,500$11,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,760 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Magic | 73c | 11,533$8,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,138.23 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 74c | 11,480$8,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,965.29 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Magic | 63c | 10,010$6,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,706.93 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Hornets | 24c | 10,000$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.4 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 63c | 8,976$5,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,311.66 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets | 36c | 7,100$2,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565.98 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Magic | 64c | 6,813$4,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.33 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Hornets | 34c | 6,076$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.97 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Magic | 53c | 5,453$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,553.7 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Hornets | 1c | 5,450$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Magic | 53c | 5,146$2,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,418.62 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Hornets | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Magic | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.97 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Hornets | 16c | 4,900$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Magic | 64c | 4,470$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.67 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Hornets | 29c | 4,463$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.12 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Magic | 67c | 3,631$2,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.35 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Magic | 73c | 3,335$2,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.79 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dda…4cf6backed Magic | 72c | 3,068$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.13 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Magic | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Hornets | 45c | 2,752$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.24 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…2c7ebacked Hornets | 37c | 2,730$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…fea3backed Magic | 66c | 2,637$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.52 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…f405backed Hornets | 36c | 2,637$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Hornets | 35c | 2,613$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.33 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Hornets | 35c | 2,291$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.65 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Magic | 64c | 2,272$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.75 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Magic | 55c | 2,157$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.11 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Hornets | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Hornets | 34c | 1,922$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.37 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Magic | 65c | 1,900$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.78 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Magic | 66c | 1,899$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.75 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Hornets | 33c | 1,818$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.22 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Magic | 64c | 1,800$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Magic | 72c | 1,781$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.3 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Magic | 67c | 1,610$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.71 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Hornets | 32c | 1,555$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.54 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Magic | 64c | 1,552$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.48 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Magic | 79c | 1,519$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.99 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Hornets | 34c | 1,473$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.94 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Magic | 74c | 1,400$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Magic | 64c | 1,375$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Magic | 52c | 1,335$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.82 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Magic | 69c | 1,306$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.77 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Hornets | 40c | 1,250$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…9ac8backed Magic | 64c | 1,192$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.3 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Hornets | 33c | 1,131$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.27 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…9f20backed Magic | 65c | 1,123$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Hornets | 55c | 1,119$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.09 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Hornets | 28c | 1,100$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.5 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Magic | 64c | 1,069$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.28 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Hornets | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Magic | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d61…75cfbacked Magic | 58c | 968.75$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Magic | 63c | 924.04$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.89 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Hornets | 36c | 835$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.6 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…11cdbacked Hornets | 30c | 793.87$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Magic | 64c | 793.65$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.68 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Magic | 64c | 770.31$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.31 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335f…55c8backed Magic | 68c | 707.88$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f59…152cbacked Hornets | 33c | 707.88$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Magic | 65c | 707.69$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.69 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Magic | 72c | 699.36$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.98 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Magic | 66c | 650$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Magic | 75c | 648.76$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.19 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Magic | 52c | 648.08$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Magic | 63c | 627.29$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.37 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f16…b561backed Magic | 80c | 623.36$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 66cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Magic | 60c | 619.86$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.69 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe047…60e5backed Magic | 64c | 602.47$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4364…dc7abacked Hornets | 36c | 600$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Magic | 71c | 599.88$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.96 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Magic | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc21f…d604backed Magic | 66c | 586.36$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.36 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Hornets | 34c | 582.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ba…d429backed Magic | 67c | 581.7$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Magic | 62c | 560.19$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…adb7backed Magic | 78c | 550$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Magic | 78c | 550$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Hornets | 36c | 500.96$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.2 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Magic | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…5ce5backed Magic | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…6c24backed Magic | 68c | 499.99$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.4 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Magic | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Magic | 64c | 478$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.08 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Hornets | 26c | 459.3$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…9fd7backed Hornets | 34c | 450$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.7 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…919dbacked Magic | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Hornets | 36c | 445.98$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.54 | 227 | 33%75 W · 152 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0279…6774backed Hornets | 35c | 445.71$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…725abacked Hornets | 3c | 433.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Magic | 65c | 431.85$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.26 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…0870backed Hornets | 35c | 414.29$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…d5d4backed Magic | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…be67backed Hornets | 33c | 395.82$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.62 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Magic | 78c | 386.03$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.03 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Hornets | 36c | 370.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.56 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.