NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Jets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d17471e4c224f155bed5fc58b506da9c13de225cdc759e2784c37d0cd751620
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Flames, Jets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Flames | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Jets | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Jets | 32c | 2,430$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.26 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Jets | 69c | 2,030$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.1 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Flames | 36c | 1,791$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.69 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Flames | 31c | 1,350$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.46 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Jets | 5c | 1,300$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Jets | 40c | 1,052$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.66 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Jets | 38c | 1,031$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.86 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Jets | 39c | 1,000$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.5 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Jets | 61c | 999.78$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.21 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Jets | 68c | 998.97$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.3 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flames | 34c | 960.76$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.93 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Flames | 61c | 930.13$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.8 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Jets | 64c | 723.99$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.35 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 55c | 715.63$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.55 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Jets | 40c | 700$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Jets | 66c | 649.94$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.96 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Flames | 36c | 613$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.45 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Flames | 36c | 589.88$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.52 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Flames | 68c | 579.99$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.29 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jets | 68c | 499.96$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.97 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Jets | 61c | 498.53$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Flames | 50c | 411.45$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.95 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Jets | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Flames | 36c | 374.11$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.51 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Jets | 63c | 318.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Flames | 59c | 318.07$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.53 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Flames | 37c | 273$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.33 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Flames | 38c | 265.57$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.22 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Jets | 38c | 251.47$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Jets | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Jets | 58c | 180$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Jets | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Jets | 47c | 148.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Flames | 32c | 146.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.66 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb24…a17bbacked Flames | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7737…22d7backed Flames | 39c | 131.4$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.39 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…9441backed Flames | 36c | 125$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…4340backed Flames | 33c | 118.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x841f…99dfbacked Flames | 41c | 117.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ff…032abacked Flames | 41c | 114.37$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc36…180fbacked Jets | 61c | 106.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Jets | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Flames | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Flames | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Jets | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…c6b7backed Jets | 60c | 85.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Jets | 66c | 84.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x463f…b2b5backed Flames | 40c | 84.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08b3…54dbbacked Jets | 60c | 81.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c9…d6d8backed Jets | 62c | 77.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Flames | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…73cbbacked Jets | 63c | 74.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcec…c3c6backed Jets | 60c | 73.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b8…5186backed Jets | 61c | 73.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…c33ebacked Jets | 63c | 65.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf934…9f73backed Jets | 41c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Flames | 35c | 59.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed Flames | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Jets | 40c | 52.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf734…c613backed Flames | 40c | 50.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…2f00backed Jets | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8175…e4b8backed Jets | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Jets | 41c | 49.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Jets | 67c | 45.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41aa…3b4fbacked Jets | 66c | 44.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e40…4047backed Flames | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc239…286bbacked Jets | 69c | 43.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed Flames | 67c | 42.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 37 | 81.1%30 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa77c…cb14backed Jets | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…d4a3backed Flames | 32c | 40.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc2…3c8dbacked Flames | 41c | 40.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Flames | 73c | 40.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c3…f88cbacked Flames | 34c | 39.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7e…4addbacked Flames | 40c | 35.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc05d…b550backed Flames | 33c | 35.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb08e…fadcbacked Flames | 38c | 34.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +131.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7e…9e69backed Jets | 62c | 34.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…155ebacked Jets | 60c | 32.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33df…eea2backed Jets | 66c | 31.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6218…36e8backed Jets | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c3…e48dbacked Jets | 66c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe455…05cabacked Flames | 34c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…9469backed Flames | 33c | 30.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…4957backed Jets | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc953…8cb8backed Jets | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…1453backed Flames | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…32f2backed Jets | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18f9…5d32backed Jets | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf576…467bbacked Jets | 67c | 29.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb34b…23ddbacked Flames | 37c | 29.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a3…7838backed Flames | 37c | 28.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…2b33backed Flames | 38c | 28.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +130.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd7…f3cdbacked Jets | 63c | 26.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4503backed Jets | 66c | 22.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac6…c14fbacked Jets | 66c | 22.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03fd…58f3backed Jets | 62c | 21.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc0…9f0bbacked Jets | 65c | 21.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe89d…b80ebacked Jets | 67c | 20.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.