Tennis · resolved market
Rio Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa21473ab0127069abab089228b55ee71731712f0338dc6a8bd6790c0fde86935
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tiranteof Cerundolo, Tirante
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $391,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $408,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $391,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ede…0a84backed Cerundolo | 1c | 29,295$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Cerundolo | 1c | 28,912$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.12 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Cerundolo | 35c | 19,114$6,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,704.9 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Tirante | 66c | 19,015$12,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,434.8 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Cerundolo | 36c | 18,898$6,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,809.58 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cerundolo | 30c | 12,031$3,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,634.26 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Tirante | 17c | 11,327$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,401.22 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Tirante | 56c | 11,203$6,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,925.38 | 284 | 39.1%111 W · 173 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tirante | 51c | 10,581$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,181.08 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tirante | 49c | 9,278$4,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,748.93 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tirante | 61c | 9,204$5,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,620.43 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Cerundolo | 4c | 6,668$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Tirante | 71c | 6,478$4,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.24 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Cerundolo | 1c | 6,100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cerundolo | 60c | 5,569$3,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,352.34 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Tirante | 39c | 5,136$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,135.3 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Tirante | 20c | 4,907$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,924.43 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea3…b910backed Cerundolo | 45c | 4,743$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.5 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cerundolo | 22c | 4,015$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.11 | 4,510 | 51.7%2,333 W · 2,177 L | +135.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Cerundolo | 79c | 3,801$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Tirante | 36c | 3,477$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.68 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cerundolo | 51c | 3,125$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.3 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Tirante | 45c | 3,075$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.67 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…8bd3backed Cerundolo | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc44…e036backed Cerundolo | 60c | 2,300$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Cerundolo | 49c | 2,144$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.98 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…09c4backed Tirante | 57c | 1,761$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.64 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cerundolo | 32c | 1,751$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.57 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Tirante | 17c | 1,657$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.09 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tirante | 25c | 1,590$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.39 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Cerundolo | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065 | 674 | 49.6%334 W · 340 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7e…339abacked Cerundolo | 75c | 1,232$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…f6b7backed Cerundolo | 60c | 1,200$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed Cerundolo | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -9.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Tirante | 27c | 1,174$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.58 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Cerundolo | 59c | 1,130$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.87 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Tirante | 48c | 1,037$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.29 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fd…abf9backed Cerundolo | 60c | 1,000$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.39 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed Tirante | 44c | 929.55$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.55 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Cerundolo | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Cerundolo | 63c | 902.68$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.85 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Tirante | 21c | 859.76$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.74 | 558 | 41.4%231 W · 327 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Cerundolo | 21c | 837.42$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.63 | 4,684 | 48.3%2,264 W · 2,420 L | +35.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Cerundolo | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,136 | 50%568 W · 568 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Tirante | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Cerundolo | 22c | 781.47$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.15 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Tirante | 39c | 772.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.33 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Tirante | 78c | 769.49$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.19 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Cerundolo | 40c | 736.12$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 134 | 35.1%47 W · 87 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Cerundolo | 44c | 720.45$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Cerundolo | 58c | 685.41$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,862 | 48.3%900 W · 962 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Cerundolo | 27c | 677$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.92 | 930 | 48.8%454 W · 476 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Cerundolo | 29c | 668.42$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.64 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tirante | 18c | 649.27$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.41 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Cerundolo | 2c | 647.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +248.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Cerundolo | 49c | 640.71$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8327…66dfbacked Cerundolo | 68c | 592.65$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…fef0backed Cerundolo | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 226 | 34.5%78 W · 148 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Tirante | 18c | 556$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.92 | 7,774 | 47.8%3,715 W · 4,059 L | +40.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1ca9backed Cerundolo | 76c | 553.03$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.46 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Tirante | 18c | 528$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.96 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Cerundolo | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…6fd3backed Cerundolo | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ec…b81ebacked Cerundolo | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Cerundolo | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 395 | 38%150 W · 245 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdda…2408backed Cerundolo | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91e…b045backed Cerundolo | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Tirante | 61c | 480.3$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.93 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Tirante | 19c | 476.5$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.14 | 1,981 | 46.2%916 W · 1,065 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Tirante | 22c | 464.06$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.76 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Cerundolo | 65c | 462.15$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Cerundolo | 61c | 441.65$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.02 | 842 | 60.9%513 W · 329 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Cerundolo | 27c | 436.28$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Tirante | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe600…0a11backed Cerundolo | 59c | 422.64$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Tirante | 19c | 410$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.1 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6b…e258backed Tirante | 50c | 400.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.76 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce4…62fcbacked Cerundolo | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Cerundolo | 79c | 372.7$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.39 | 593 | 59.2%351 W · 242 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Cerundolo | 53c | 357.37$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afe…aec0backed Cerundolo | 43c | 345.34$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Cerundolo | 36c | 333.1$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 249 | 31.3%78 W · 171 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Tirante | 19c | 316$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.96 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Tirante | 19c | 315.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.79 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x346a…892bbacked Cerundolo | 70c | 313.77$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.03 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…7553backed Cerundolo | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b4…150ebacked Tirante | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Tirante | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Tirante | 75c | 304$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Cerundolo | 66c | 298.34$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.14 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Tirante | 35c | 283.14$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.44 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Tirante | 21c | 281$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.99 | 433 | 42.5%184 W · 249 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Cerundolo | 43c | 278.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cerundolo | 32c | 260.53$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.56 | 6,798 | 36.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Cerundolo | 16c | 259.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…0992backed Cerundolo | 45c | 256.51$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…3314backed Tirante | 40c | 255.6$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.36 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Tirante | 40c | 250.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Tirante | 18c | 250$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 4,090 | 39.8%1,628 W · 2,462 L | +95.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…a8adbacked Cerundolo | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rio Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Thiago Agustin Tirantethis page
- Cerundolo vs. Tirante: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs TiranteTirante won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.