TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x55ec…b81e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: UFC, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST6259.7%37 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Opelka (+1.5)backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.75
Set Handicap: Musetti (-1.5) vs Fucsovics (+1.5)backed Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$26.24
BNP Paribas Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+113%+$20.78
Thionville: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Jan Choinskibacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$26.6
BNP Paribas Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+113.3%+$21.24
BNP Paribas Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Roberto Bautista Agutbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$43.5
BNP Paribas Open: Valentin Royer vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+79.6%+$16.25
BNP Paribas Open: Donna Vekic vs Tereza Valentovabacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.05
Dubai Tennis Championships: Otto Virtanen vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$43
St. Brieuc: Laurent Lokoli vs Jakub Paulbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$26
St. Brieuc: Keegan Smith vs Geoffrey Blancaneauxbacked Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Kypson (+1.5)backed Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$118.5
Tigre: Guido Justo vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$190
Delray Beach Open: Taylor Fritz vs Tommy Paulbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$301.76
Rio Open: Ignacio Buse vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+73%+$210.98
Delray Beach Open: Sebastian Korda vs Casper Ruudbacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+66.7%+$100
Delray Beach Open: Coleman Wong vs Flavio Cobollibacked Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$159
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Lille: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+63.9%+$58.5
Delray Beach Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodarbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+29.9%+$57.5
Rio Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ignacio Busebacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$118.5
Delray Beach Open: Zachary Svajda vs Frances Tiafoebacked Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$211.5
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$355
Qatar Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+185.7%+$325
Qatar Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+68.2%+$202.75
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+53.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+244.8%+$106.5
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Geoff Neal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$132
UFC Fight Night: Dan Ige vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$61.27
UFC Fight Night: Josiah Harrell vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Jacobe Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+38.9%+$42
UFC Fight Night: Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+68.8%+$59.1
UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Jailton Almeida (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Kuniev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+47.3%+$23.64
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Amir Albazi (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+35.1%+$19.5
All 7 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-43.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+141.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+141.7%+$29.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Huskies vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+60.1%+$49.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+58.9%+$55.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+43.1%+$60.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$43.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.